swingdoc wrote on 12/18/08 at 11:43:43:
Thanks everyone for the advice and thanks MNb for pointing out the accelerated should be considered too when making this choice. A couple questions that I'm still wondering about (these are purely for my own curiosity because the Dragon is incredibly interesting, not factors in my personal repertoire choice)
1. Is 9. Bc4 significantly more popular at the grandmaster level? This seems to be the case, but I certainly don't keep up with opening theory so I don't know.
2. If it is, why? Is this a matter of what is currently fashionable, or does white have a better chance at a long-term advantage in the 9. Bc4 line? Are there certain subvariations within 9. 0-0-0 where black has an easier time? Etc.
To be honest, after playing through several months worth of games in the Dragon section I'm tempted to play it myself. I love sacrificing material for the attack so that's not an issue.
1. yes, 9.Bc4 is more popular at high level, but-
2. -the point is that during many years -from the fifties- it was believed that (after 9.0-0-0) 9...d5 was very strong. About 25 years ago it was discovered that White has several promising continuations after 9.0-0-0 d5. But-
3.-meanwhile the theory of 9.Bc4 was so rich that there was much more to find there, or so people assumed. For this reason 9.Bc4 continued to be regarded as the main line.
You must take into account that the Dragon has been regarded as too risky for Black, basically after a famous game that Botvinnik lost to an Austrian named Duckstein, in the so called "Yugoslav attack" (White castles long, opens the "h" file and, hopefully, mates). Certainly there were some other games lost by Black in those days, But Duckstein-Botvinnik was especially important because the winner was not a top grandmaster. In other words, imagine you were a strong grandmaster. Playing the Dragon you had a significant probability to be whipped by underdogs.
Some years later the theory was much improved from the point of view of the Black player, but there was a price for that: in some sharp lines White had the choice to get a draw by force. Now imagine again that you were a very strong grandmaster, a Botvinnik say: it is a disaster if you lose to a Duckstein, but it is also a disaster if you draw with him as well.
For these reasons the Dragon has been little attractive for top players and continues to be so.
But you are not a strong grandmaster, nor your adversaries are. Also it is unimportant if you memorize variations to 30th move, as your adversaries are not to enter these variations. And, if they do, you -or your rival- are likely to lose a piece as soon as you are out of the book.
So, why do you mind about 9.0-0-0 or 9.Bc4? These kind of preocupations are for the expert. Play the move you like more -both are good enough- and don´t care.