Stefan Buecker wrote on 03/04/18 at 08:01:34:
Thanks for your interesting analysis, Brabo. After 14...Qd7 15.Qa4 I'd prefer 15...a5 (as this b2-b4 attack is so disrupting in many lines), for example 16.Bh3 Rf6 17.cxd5 Qxd5 18.Bg2 Qd6 19.Ne1 Rxf1+ 20.Kxf1 Rf8+ 21.Kg1 Nd8 22.Bxb7 Nxb7 23.Qc6 Qxc6 24.Rxc6 Bd6 25.Nd3 Kf7! and with Black's king arriving in the center, White hasn't much.
There remains a slight disadvantage for Black in these variations. It seems to me, however, that the earlier move 13...Bb7? is inaccurate. In some lines Black might want to play Bc8-a6. Thus it seems more urgent to play 13...a5 at once, to take White's threat b2-b4 out of the position. For example 14.cxd5 (14.Rf2 Bb7 followed by dxc4) 14...exd5 15.Qb3 Kh8 16.Rac1 Bb7, and now:
(a) 17.Nh4 Rxf1+ 18.Rxf1 Ba6 19.Rf5 Bc4 20.Qc2 g6 =.
(b) 17.Ne1 Rxf1+ 18.Kxf1 Nb8 19.Kg1 c6 20.e4 dxe4 21.Be3 a4, and again it's an open fight, about =.
Hi Stefan, thanks for your excellent analysis. You clearly put quite some effort in it as it definitely improves on what I already analyzed which already took quite some of my time.
Now I hadn't intended to go in correspondence-analysis-modus as this was just some fun (yes I do analyze openings while no intention to ever play them which again contradicts that I think studying openings will let me play better). Still your work deserves a reply so I went the last couple of days through a myriad of very complicated lines.
13...Bb7 14.Rc1 Qd7 15.Qa4 a5 (This is an improvement but white still has some advantage)
16.a3 Rf7 17.cxd5 exd5 18.Ne1 Bf6 19.Nd3 Nd8 20.Qxd7 Rxd7 21.Nf4 c6 22.h4
16.Bh3 Rf6 17.cxd5 Qxd5 18.Bg2 Qd6 19.Ne5 (I like this more than your 19.Ne1) Rxf1+ 20.Rxf1 Nxe5 21.Bxb7 Rf8 22.Rxf8 Bxf8 23.Qe8
13...a5 (This is indeed more accurate. I already had noticed this move in several lines but as stated earlier didn't dig deeper until now)
14.Qa4 Bb7 15.Rac1 Qe8 and now 16.Bh3 and 16.cxd5 exd5 17.a3 Kh8 18.Qc2 are very difficult to evaluate properly but definitely are no easy equality for black
14.Rc1 Ba6 15.cxd5 Bxf1 16.Qxf1 Qxd5 is also very interesting. The engines contradict each other.
14.Rf2 Bb7 and now I looked at 15.Be1, 15.b3 and 15.Qb3. Black has to play very accurately against all three lines but possibly can equalize on the long run.
So overall conclusion yes I do have to admit that I am not sure anymore if this special anti-classical Dutch-line guarantees an advantage. For sure black will be put under pressure but a perfect defense will maybe hold.