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Normal Topic Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev (Read 1042 times)
Mikhail_Golubev
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #7 - 03/23/22 at 23:27:59
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Hi all. Thank you for remembering.
I'm in Odessa, as alive as The Dragon. More or less.
At my home page https://mikhailgolubev.wordpress.com/ there are some war-related links under my photo in the top blog item.
  
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cathexis
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #6 - 03/21/22 at 23:09:08
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Agreed. Some people think it just isn't coffee without the cream. I take mine black.
  
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Confused_by_Theory
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #5 - 03/21/22 at 18:48:31
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Hello.

Early morning Naval shelling in Odessa today. No casualties.

When it's not down
https://liveuamap.com/
Is very good. It's a live updated link collection essentially with a strategic map attached. Seeing the postings gives a frightening perception of the totality of the war in progress.

cathexis wrote on 03/21/22 at 12:52:44:
The Mar 02 piece:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5tilAZLZ4Q

FWIW,

cathexis

Thank you. These guys seem to make an effort at real analysis at least. That is better than most. I could go on about this but there is some kind of pervasive mode of operation in most media to just bring in some, usually quite respectable to be fair, guy to give broad remarks without forcing him or her to justify or back up anything said and call it a day after that. That is not my cup of tea.
  
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cathexis
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #4 - 03/21/22 at 12:52:44
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I would hazard a guess that the Russian navy is performing about as well the Russian army: SNAFU, but more or less successful in some areas by its own sheer numbers. The most detailed and seemingly fair military analysis I've been able to find is by a former U.S. military analyst (self-described) who operates the You-Tube site, "S2 Underground." The site has been around a while and does have a survivalist bias, but his sitrep maps are easily the best available to you and I. He has also accessed European agro-satellites at times for pix which are fairly current and publicly available. His Jan. 21 thru Mar 02 pieces might be helpful for you. He is a former analyst and so he likes to - analyze. So don't expect instant gratification. McDonald's is the place for that.

The Mar 02 piece:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5tilAZLZ4Q

FWIW,

cathexis
  
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Confused_by_Theory
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #3 - 03/19/22 at 19:41:14
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Hi.

Russian navy ships seen near Odessa.
https://www.reuters.com/world/defiant-odessa-is-seen-vulnerable-russian-sea-assa...

It seems really hard to make out what has and has not gone on with regards to Russian naval operations. I'm not even going to try. Hopefully some serious source does a deepdive at some point.

Have a nice day.
  
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Bibs
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #2 - 03/18/22 at 23:08:58
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Respectfully, this is better moved into the existing thread on Ukraine. Reason? It’s not about theory.

In passing, worth quickly noting - Golubev is a good author. His Sozin and KID works are really good. An author who knows his stuff, has passion for the subject matter, and explains well to readers. 

Perhaps Mod MNB might adjust and move this?

And our very best to all in Ukraine, of course.
  
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Confused_by_Theory
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Re: Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
Reply #1 - 03/18/22 at 20:07:29
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Hi.

Stay strong indeed.

It should be said that Odessa is not yet under any kind of ground attack. Depending on what offensive capabilities are left with the Russian forces north of Crimea the city should be relatively safe from fighting for now (bombs and missiles are another issue though). There is also the Russian navy to worry about and (so far very passive) forces in Transnistria; any offensive would still be out of the blue though.

Wars are bad.
/ CbT
  
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Victor Reppert
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Message from Dragon Expert Mikhail Golubev
03/18/22 at 18:58:06
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Our Ukrainian army and Odesa people are prepared to defend the city and we are continuing all necessary preparations. Odesa will stay strong! The situation is tense. I’m directly involved in supporting the Territorial Defense of Odesa. —March 4, 2022

Stay strong, Mikhail!
  
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