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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5 (Read 190433 times)
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #87 - 07/17/06 at 16:31:48
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Smyslov_Fan wrote on 07/17/06 at 07:26:29:

I keep getting bothered by what White will actually do in case of 17...e5.  (I remember the axiom, Always Analyse Forcing Moves First.)  I think White's Queen has to stay in touch with the e3 square, so his moves are limited to 18.Qg1?!, 18.Qf2?!/!? (I think it runs into some pin problems along the b6-f2 diagonal, but I could be wrong.) 18.Qd3? 18.Qd2?! (Black will still be able to take the d-file) 18.Qe4?/?! and Ostap's 18.Qc5.
I see the main line running something like this:

17...e5 18.Qc5 Nf4 19.g3 Ne6 20.Qe3!? Nd4 21.Bd3 Bf5!? and I think Black's just fine.  Not all of these moves are forced, but the line looks pretty good for Black. 

I think the idea of turning the e-pawn from a target on e7 to a weapon on e5 (or e4) may be worth that second look.


I agree that it would be wonderful for Black to play e7-e5-e4.  My main objection to playing e5 is that White can force the exchange of queens following 17...e5 18.Qc5 Nf4 19.Qd6.  It is possible that White's alternatives are even stronger, but this simple plan discourages me from 17...e5 (and by extension, 17...Nf6).  Of course, we disagree a bit on the relative values of the queens at this juncture, so this may not seem like a compelling reason to you.

As far as that goes, maybe a queen trade is not a disaster, but I think Black should try to prevent it as long as possible, since with it goes his only winning chances.
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #86 - 07/17/06 at 14:51:42
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[b]1.e4 c5 2.Nf3 d6 3.d4 cxd4 4.Nxd4 Nf6 5.Nc3 g6 6.f3 Bg7 7.Be3 0-0 8.Qd2 Nc6 9.0-0-0 d5 10.exd5 Nxd5 11.Nxc6 bxc6 12.Bd4 Bxd4 13.Qxd4 Qb6 14.Na4 Qa5 15. b3 Qc7 16.h4 h5 17.c4[/b]
[img]http://www.france-echecs.com/diagramme/imgboard.php?fen=r1b2rk1/p1q1pp2/2p3p1/3n3p/N1PQ3P/1P3P2/P5P1/2KR1B1R[/img]

[quote author=Scholar link=1151879306/75#84 date=1153118161]I meant no disrespect.  Certainly I posted the analysis after you had already indicated that you were favoring 17.c4.[/quote]
No disrespect inferred, at any point.

[quote]I face an awkward burden here: on the one hand, I'd like for you to play the moves that I think are most critical, so that I can determine whether I want to incorporate this line into my repertoire, and from that perspective, losing would not be so bad.  On the other hand, I don't want to lose :-)[/quote]
Yes, I understand this burden very well.  The will to win is very strong even in a game whose main purpose - collaboratively discovering the truth about the line in play - has little to do with winning.  However, this will to win is also an important aspect of the game - it propels us to find better moves, take certain risks or precautions, and put in a certain level of effort that we might never put in if this were just dry analysis (without anything hanging on the line).

I like to think we've both done an excellent job at aiming to find the truth by thinking "out loud" while considering our next move.  On more than one occasion I've found myself hoping for you to play down a path which falls right in with my plans - but have tried to state my plans and opinions about the position as clearly as possible - as you have.

The way I see the current situation (albeit expressed in rather vague terms as there are so many concrete possibilities at this point):

Right now I have the initiative, and I dearly hope to convert this into something tangible.  If I can maintain the initiative, my queenside weaknesses will be harder to exploit.  With this initiative, there seem to be decent prospects of generating dangerous kingside play or perhaps forcing Black's pieces to adopt awkward posts to prevent this.  There are some prospects of provoking a queen exchange if the kingside play becomes too threatening, or even forcing a queen exchange in other lines.  (I also agree with Scholar that there is a lot of work to do even if this highly desirable queen exchange is achieved)

If Scholar is able to neutralize my initiative without making any significant concessions, he will not only equalize but may even turn the tables as my queenside vulnerability will become much more significant.

In short, I see good prospects for White and am guardedly optimistic - but I stlll fear the worst - a fear amplified in no small way by the respect I have for my opponent (I have followed analysis Scholar has contributed to other threads in this section: see, for example [url]http://www.chesspub.com/cgi-bin/yabb2/YaBB.pl?num=1122802309/45#57[/url] and previous posts which elicited this praise from Markovich).

A very challenging game ensues - for both sides - and the outcome is still very much in the air.
« Last Edit: 07/17/06 at 19:23:43 by OstapBender »  

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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #85 - 07/17/06 at 07:26:29
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Scholar, 

I'm in it to see a good game, so win lose or draw, you two have already done a great job.

(I have refused to use my computer for any analysis.)   

I keep getting bothered by what White will actually do in case of 17...e5.  (I remember the axiom, Always Analyse Forcing Moves First.)  I think White's Queen has to stay in touch with the e3 square, so his moves are limited to 18.Qg1?!, 18.Qf2?!/!? (I think it runs into some pin problems along the b6-f2 diagonal, but I could be wrong.) 18.Qd3? 18.Qd2?! (Black will still be able to take the d-file) 18.Qe4?/?! and Ostap's 18.Qc5.
I see the main line running something like this:

17...e5 18.Qc5 Nf4 19.g3 Ne6 20.Qe3!? Nd4 21.Bd3 Bf5!? and I think Black's just fine.  Not all of these moves are forced, but the line looks pretty good for Black. 

I think the idea of turning the e-pawn from a target on e7 to a weapon on e5 (or e4) may be worth that second look.

  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #84 - 07/17/06 at 06:36:01
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Yes, it does seem that we agree on the generalities, now it it just a matter of details: where do our pieces belong.  I imagine you will have to choose places for your queen and king's rook, while I will have to determine where to put my knight and my rooks.  It may take a few moves, but I imagine those choices will largely shape the next phase of the middlegame.

I think it's unlikely that 17...e5 will turn out to be best.  It does make some space for Black, and e5-e4 is a decent try, but I just feel like Black is just giving White a chance to move his pieces to better squares while cutting down on his own options.

17...Nb6 works if Black can play a5-a4 and doesn't work otherwise (what good is it to chase White's knight to c5?).  It doesn't work.

17...Nf6 would be a fine move (a natural square for the knight, prevents g4 etc.) if it weren't so passive.  Since Ostap and I agree that a queen trade would be a victory for White at this stage -- a moral victory -- I think it would require quite a bit of technique to bring home the point -- the main drawback is that White can go about trying to arrange a trade of queens, and there's not a lot Black can do about it.

Let's say that 17...Nb4 is the dark horse -- a seemingly pointless move which seeks to immediately exploit White's weakened queenside.  Black must take care that the knight does not end up out of play.    But this move cuts through all of White's plans.

That leaves 17...Nf4.

It will probably take a few days for me to make a decision, so I invite those sympathetic to Black's cause to weigh in and (if needed!) correct my understanding of the position.

[quote author=OstapBender link=1151879306/75#76 date=1153068982][quote author=Scholar link=1151879306/60#74 date=1153031056] Well, had 17.g4 been played, I would certainly have played 17...Qg3 which seems significantly stronger than the alternative that I had originally considered (assuming I have checked the tactics correctly).  So I may have tipped my hand a bit early...[/quote]
I wouldn't go so far as to say that (17.g4) 17...Qg3 (a very nice find - congrats!) convinced me to play 17.c4 since I was already starting to lean that way for other reasons.  But 17...Qg3 certainly gave me one more reason to strongly question White's winning prospects after 17.g4 - making 17.c4 a bit easier to choose.
[/quote]

I meant no disrespect.  Certainly I posted the analysis after you had already indicated that you were favoring 17.c4.  I face an awkward burden here: on the one hand, I'd like for you to play the moves that I think are most critical, so that I can determine whether I want to incorporate this line into my repertoire, and from that perspective, losing would not be so bad.  On the other hand, I don't want to lose :-)
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #83 - 07/17/06 at 03:55:35
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In the line suggested by Smyslov_Fan where White answers 17....Qf4+ with 18.Qf4 Nf4 19.g3 Ne6 20.Bg2, White's position looks very strong indeed.  Of course, this line will likely not be played as Scholar and I seem to be very much on the same page regarding the importance of keeping queens on the board for Black - at least at this particular stage of the game.

I agree with Scholar that all of the playable knight moves and 17...e5 are serious candidates.  And there are major branching points immediately following 17...e5: at least three queen moves for White merit consideration (18.Qc5 being the frontrunner for me at this point); then at least four knight moves for each of these queen moves.  With so many branches to consider, we are at a critical juncture in the game.  Lots to sort through...
  

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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #82 - 07/17/06 at 03:32:56
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In the current position (after 17.c4) I think that Qf4+ is a mistake for Black; my reasons mostly apply to similar positions.

In general, White has three reasons to prefer his position: kingside attack, the weakness of c6, freer development.  Black will attempt to attack on the queenside, and try to exploit White's attempts to move his kingside pawns.  Trading queens doesn't slow White down at all (the kingside attack is still potent, especially if White gets to play g4xh5), but it does make Black's plans of a an attack on White's king much more fanciful, since Black lacks an effective way to exploit the dark squares without his queen.  So the queens stay on.

Black's best now?  I'm open to suggestions.  I am considering all six knight moves, as well as e5 and Qf4+.  Playing Nc3 or Ne3 seems...premature, and I believe my reasoning about Qf4+, but this still leaves five candidates for Black.  Nf4 and Nf6 seem like the best of the bunch at the moment, but there are many different plans that Black can pursue here.
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #81 - 07/17/06 at 03:00:05
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I don't like modifying old posts, even when they are clearly wrong.  I'd rather let my mistakes be and show an effort to improve.   

In my previous post, I omitted 20.Bd3.  This was probably because I was confusing this position with another that Ostap is playing in which the Bishop is already at d3.  In this case, the Bishop probably belongs on g2 if the Queens are traded!

I guess Black's best would be 17...Nf4, but White has quite a bit of pull there too.  Contrary to Ostap, I prefer the White Queen to Black's.  Yes, I do see that Black's Queen has freedom to roam along the c7-g3 axis, but I don't see how that will do egregious harm to White's position.  White's queen, on the other hand, dominates the rest of the dark squares, and Black will have difficulty defending those with or without a trade.
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #80 - 07/17/06 at 02:36:49
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Since you haven't yet mentioned my main complaint with 17...Qf4+ (after 17.c4), I'll do it.

17....Qf4+ 18.Qf4 Nf4 19.g3 Ne6 20.Rhe1 And Black's pieces are still stuck, White is threatening f4-f5 as well as Be4-d5 (or c6 in some lines).

In other words, even after the Queens come off, White has some serious play due to Black's dark square weaknesses.  It may still be best for Black (I don't trust Qg3 very much) because the N retreats are all so dismal and 17...e5 looks completely out of place.  I may be painting the picture in too-dark hues, but Black's position is a bit bleak.
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #79 - 07/16/06 at 23:59:14
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986 wrote on 07/16/06 at 22:34:12:
After 17. g4  I think after Qf4 black is slightly better at least equal.

In the 17.g4 line, I also did not consider 17...Qf4+ to be a serious contender but I dismissed it without really giving it a close look.  It's beginning to look like I may have a blindspot about this queen exchange!  Undecided

Tom, 
I think this is a good line to analyze together if you're game.  My main line after 17.g4 Qf4+ was as follows:
18.Qxf4 Nxf4 19.gxh5 Nxh5 20.Nc5 and here I thought White had a small but tangible edge.  I think White's minor pieces will find better posts (the knight already looks good on c5) and Black's weaknesses (particularly c6, but the black kingside also looks potentially fragile) are easier to target.  White will probably continue with with Bd3 (maybe later Be4) and either Rhe1 or Rdg1 looks attractive.

Regarding the queen exchange:
(1) The specific reason I think Black should usually avoid the queen exchange in this position is that, with the queens off the board, it is much easier for White to bring the offside knight back into play.  

(2) Another general reason is that the black queen, although it appears for the moment to be less actively posted that its white counterpart, is actually doing more for Black in hindering White's plans than White's queen is doing to help them.  

I think my first reason for not liking the queen exchange is reasonable and clear cut.  My second reason is more vague (and perhaps debatable) but seems to hold true in most of the concrete variations that I've investigated.

Cheers,
Ostap
  

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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #78 - 07/16/06 at 22:34:12
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After 17. g4  I think after Qf4 black is slightly better at least equal. I haven't looked at Qg3 but looks dangerous to me but of course more ambitious. 

Cheers,
Tom
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #77 - 07/16/06 at 17:12:19
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Smyslov_Fan wrote on 07/16/06 at 06:24:56:
Now about that 17...Qf4+...

It may seem to be in Black's best interest to keep queens on, but compare their relative positions right now.  White's is clearly better placed than Black's.  Also, a trade will seriously reduce your attacking chances.  If you decided to take on f4, Black's Knight would get a great square.

I haven't done the serious analysis one would need to do whenever considering such a major change in the position, but it has to be one of Black's chief candidate moves.

You make some good points for the potential merit of 17...Qf4+.  I dismissed it rather superficially - mainly because White's offside knight gains a great square, c5, which is difficult to occupy with queens still on the board.  The plusses of 17...Qf4+ could well offset it's main minus, which can only be determined by considering some concrete variations.  Therefore the move must at least be considered.

Quote:
I recognised the irony of my liking that speech and defending the French.  I'm glad you did too!

Actually, I didn't catch the irony right away.  But once I started to consider why I liked that speech so much, it hit me...  Smiley

As for the beer,

Bass and Newcastle have always been favorites.  You wouldn't happen to have Pilsner Urquell, would you?  Or maybe Watney's Red Barrel?  Haven't had a Watney's in a long time...  So many great beers, so little time - almost as difficult as choosing a move!  Smiley
« Last Edit: 07/16/06 at 20:38:03 by OstapBender »  

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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #76 - 07/16/06 at 16:56:22
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Scholar wrote on 07/16/06 at 06:24:16:
Well, had 17.g4 been played, I would certainly have played 17...Qg3 which seems significantly stronger than the alternative that I had originally considered (assuming I have checked the tactics correctly).  So I may have tipped my hand a bit early...

I wouldn't go so far as to say that (17.g4) 17...Qg3 (a very nice find - congrats!) convinced me to play 17.c4 since I was already starting to lean that way for other reasons.  But 17...Qg3 certainly gave me one more reason to strongly question White's winning prospects after 17.g4 - making 17.c4 a bit easier to choose.

Quote:
...and convinced you to play the more critical 17.c4, against which I do not have a detailed line worked out -- rather I have a menagerie of ideas which can be strung together in many possible ways, and it remains to be seen which minimizes White's advantage.

Since forcing lines are harder to come by, it will be difficult to play optimally, but hopefully I will avoid any obvious blunders.

Indeed, I think the myriad of possibilities and the nonforcing nature of the lines arising from 17.c4 will make it 'difficult to play optimally' for both sides.  Kind of a blessing and a curse.
  

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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #75 - 07/16/06 at 06:24:56
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Ostap, 

I recognised the irony of my liking that speech and defending the French.  I'm glad you did too!  Cool

Now about that 17...Qf4+...


It may seem to be in Black's best interest to keep queens on, but compare their relative positions right now.  White's is clearly better placed than Black's.  Also, a trade will seriously reduce your attacking chances.  If you decided to take on f4, Black's Knight would get a great square.

I haven't done the serious analysis one would need to do whenever considering such a major change in the position, but it has to be one of Black's chief candidate moves.

I look forward to what Scholar has to say or play!

Cheers to both of you, you seem well-matched in this game.

Smiley

(What beer can I get the winner?  I have Bass, Corona, Newcastle.....)
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #74 - 07/16/06 at 06:24:16
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OstapBender wrote on 07/16/06 at 01:48:31:
Scholar wrote on 07/15/06 at 07:17:07:
And what of 17.g4?  In addition to the line quoted above (which still reigns as my 'verified' main line), Black has some more ambitious choices -- 17...Qg3 18.gxh5 Qxf3 19.hxg6 Qxh1 sees White  reply in kind by sacrificing a rook for some excellent attacking chances, and the uncertainty resulting makes life difficult for both sides.  An endgame where White has two pawns for the exchange seems likely to result.  After 17...hxg4 18.fxg4 Black can also try e5 with unclear complications.

So White has a chance to play for complications now, and Black will have his opportunity to decide whether or not to enter the 'melee' I alluded to in my previous post on the two subsequent moves.  I'd be interested in reading what others think of these ideas -- should Black go for the draw (after 17.g4 hxg4 18.fxg4 Qg3 19.h5 Qe3+ 20.Kb1 Qxd4 I can hardly pretend that Black is trying to win), or play one of the more ambitious lines above, and if so, which is most promising?

Your 17…Qg3 line is very interesting, and something I hadn’t considered.  At first glance, I thought it looked risky but after (18.gxh5 Qxf3 19.hxg6 Qxh1) 20.Bb5 Qf3 21.Bxc6 Be6 22.gxf7+ Qxf7 23.Bxd5 Bxd5 24.Qxd5 Qxd5 25.Rxd5 Rf2 Black might actually be fine.  There are possible alternatives to look at which may lead to improvements, but I think this looks like a solid line.
Ah, 17.g4 may well turn out to be the move I wish I had played.  I think it is much safer than 17.c4 while still being a reasonable try for an advantage. 


Well, had 17.g4 been played, I would certainly have played 17...Qg3 which seems significantly stronger than the alternative that I had originally considered (assuming I have checked the tactics correctly).  So I may have tipped my hand a bit early and convinced you to play the more critical 17.c4, against which I do not have a detailed line worked out -- rather I have a menagerie of ideas which can be strung together in many possible ways, and it remains to be seen which minimizes White's advantage.

Since forcing lines are harder to come by, it will be difficult to play optimally, but hopefully I will avoid any obvious blunders.
  
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Re: OstapBender-Scholar, Yugoslav 9.0-0-0 d5
Reply #73 - 07/16/06 at 05:38:54
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Smyslov_Fan wrote on 07/15/06 at 21:08:08:
Ostap, that is one of my favorite speeches ever written!

We few, we happy few, we band of brothers;
For he that sheds his blood with me 
Shall be my brother; be he ne'er so vile, 
This day shall gentle his condition.
And gentlemen in England now abed, 
Shall think themselves accursed that they were not here;
And hold their manhood cheap whiles any speaks
That fought with us on Saint Crispin's Day.


That Billy boy sure did know how to rattle a lance.

Indeed, he did!

Certainly one of the most beautiful, inspiring speeches I have ever read.  

I'd follow that Welshman into battle against the French - any day!

(or against any other opening  Wink)
  

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