Willempie wrote on 08/20/07 at 15:19:43:
Udav18 wrote on 08/20/07 at 15:07:48:
A few days ago I thought about the news that checkers was solved.
I asked me wether it is possible to solve chess;are the possibilities limited or unlimited?
At first the answer for me seemed to be very easy and clear:It is limited!
But when I started to calculate how many possibilities there are I got uncertain.
1st move 400 possibilities
2nd move ähm well too much I would say around *0000?I am not sure
But the more moves there were made,the more possibilities appear and if we imagine that a normal game can go on for lets say about 200 moves,than it is really unimaginable how huge the figure of the possibilites would be,if the possibilities were limited.
Is here anybody who knows more and can tell me something about the calculations?
I am very bad with big numbers. But yes the possibilities are limited but huge. If you just look at the tablebases for piece endings and their size, you'll get an idea of how many possible positions there are. Iirc the total possible positions is something like 10^50
In theorie you can solve it by taking all "mate"-positions and work backwards. In practice that is not possible with chess as you would need a rather big (as in impossible for now) computer to use an understatement. So most computer programs work forward (they think about the next move iso the last possible moves) and use an evaluation mechanism to filter out stupid moves. Without that mechanism the newest Fritz and Rybka combined playing on the newest machines would lose to an average club player.
Ok there is a limited number of positions,but to get to every position there are again nearly unlimited numers of posiibilities!? So to get to every of this 10^50 position,you have again 10^(10^100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000) posibilities maybe even more.But my logical thinking says also that there must be a limit there,if there is a limit of moves in the games and there must be a limit of the moves,because there are 32 peaces on the board and so the limit of moves must be 30*50 ,or?
Because there is the 50-moves-rule,which says that ,if there was no capture after 50 moves,then the game is drawn(The Kings cant be captured ,so 30).
so a game can only last 1500 moves.So lets say every new move M the number N of possibilities rises in about this way N=10^(10*1000000000000000000000)*M with M<=1500 and >=1
This formula is of course wrong,because I invented all the numbers ,without any thinking about them,but its structure is realistic and showes that there must be a limit,because the moves are limited,too.
Is this logical or rubbish?