TonyRo wrote on 06/16/09 at 16:55:42:
It's not clear to me that it's easier than the main lines. Sure, White gets something that he's not supposed to get, namely the c4-c5, Nd2-c4 combo, when he has all of his pieces where he wants. But Black doesn't waste time with all the crazy moves he plays in the main line 9...a5 stuff either. All that said, Black scores positively in the variation on my database:
After 13...g5 - 53% out of 77 games.
After 18...g4 - 64% out of 14 games.
Yes, I know that doesn't mean White's losing or that theoretically he's not better off here than he is after the main moves after 9. Nd2 (9...a5 and 9...c5), but it's a little worrying, and shows that practically Black's plan is quite dangerous!
White gets things
he's not supposed to get, and to that end if this were objectively black's best variation then every white player in the world would immediately take up the Bayonet. And yes - as someone that has played the white side of the KID 9. Nd2 for years now, I can definitively say it is easier than the the main line.
The statistics just show black has practical chances. The theoretical stance of 9...Ne8 isn't as good as its performance, a lot of its success coming from the surprise value the move has since white spends more time prepping the more critical variations.
9. Nd2 is = after 9...a5 (assuming the ...Bd7 lines are chosen). There's a reason that move is the preference among GMs, and not 9...Ne8 which transposes to 9. b4 Ne8 anyway. You would think if it were all that great 9...Ne8 would be the universal answer to both 9. b4 and 9. Nd2, instead of 9...Nh5 and 9...a5, respectively.
9...Ne8 is great for showing thematic KID play, but there's a reason it has never been considered the correct response after either 9. Nd2 or 9. b4. If it were the most testing response it would've been made the main line a long time ago with numerous games at the super-GM level.
White should be very happy to see 9. b4 Ne8, even if black has some practical chances.