In the end of Spring 2009, I knew next to nothing about global warming.
Although sympathetic to the skeptics (just my personality), I knew I knew nothing.
After some Net research I came up with this sketch of the situation on Jul 28th, 2009:
Quote:
2000-2020 was an expected period of cold oceanic currents.
Just like 1980-2000 was mostly hot currents (El Nino etc.)
That explains both the current "at least flatness" and the previous very fast rise.
Now subsume the periodic oceanic factor. A net rise remains,
clearly seen on the graph you submitted at the end of page 7.
In other words, the 80-00 increase was faster than the current "decrease".
After 2020 we'll hit new records.
("Solar flares" thread page 9.)
Now I read this in the Guardian article:
Quote:
The research said that natural fluctuations in ocean temperature could have a bigger impact on global temperature than expected. In particular, the study concluded that cooling in the oceans could offset global warming, with the average temperature over the decades 2000-2010 and 2005-2015 predicted to be no higher than the average for 1994-2004. Despite clarifications from the scientists at the time, who stressed that the research did not challenge the predicted long-term warming trend, the study was widely misreported as signalling a switch from global warming to global cooling.
(...)
"The natural variation occurs side by side with the manmade warming. Sometimes it has a cooling effect and can offset this warming and other times it can accelerate it."
(...)
Latif said his research suggested that up to half the warming seen over the 20th century was down to this natural ocean effect, but said that was consistent with the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. "No climate specialist would ever say that 100% of the warming we have seen is down to greenhouse gas emissions."
Now you may say I figure things out quickly, but
some people should start to get it by now.
Pages: 
Global Warming: CRU & Copenhagen (Read 99415 times)
