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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2 (Read 38418 times)
Smyslov_Fan
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #18 - 03/17/10 at 14:59:58
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Kramnik, commenting on his game against Nakamura, said that his revelation (after studying the position most of the night) was that White doesn't have to take on e4, and thereby got a great game.
  
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TN
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #17 - 03/17/10 at 09:11:23
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1.d4 f5 2.g3 Nf6 3.Bg2 e6 4.c4 Be7 5.Nf3 0-0 6.0-0 d6 7.Nc3 Ne4 is the variation in question. 

Other than 8.Ne4, I think White should also consider 8.Qc2, when after 8...Nc3, both captures are interesting although proving an advantage isn't easy if Black just plays for ...e5.
  

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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #16 - 03/17/10 at 07:46:26
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Would you mind providing the moves before 7...Ne4?

Thanks!
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #15 - 03/16/10 at 06:42:42
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Dean wrote on 03/04/10 at 21:21:41:
Against 7.. Ne4!? He goes for the critical 8.Nxe4 fxe4 9. Nd2 d5 10. f3 Nc6 11. fxe4 Rxf1


Does anyone actually want to discuss the line in question? This Ne4 move totally infuriates me as white player. I think black has no winning chances but neither does white. I've yet to find a way to crack this move after many attempts.
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #14 - 03/13/10 at 15:21:11
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We have discussed this option in the past and Black is far from equal here.
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #13 - 03/13/10 at 10:15:54
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Black's best reply to 10.f3 is possibly 10.- Bf6. Unfortunately this reply is not analysed by Avrukh although the "drawing machine" (i.e., Rybka) likes it better than the traditional 10.-exf3; 10.-Nc6.
  
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BPaulsen
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #12 - 03/06/10 at 14:07:57
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Dean wrote on 03/06/10 at 12:11:43:

I think the only reasonable definition of  "=" is that you score 50% against an equally strong opponent.


No. A reasonable definition of "=" is that each side has equal chances, objectively based on existing positional and tactical elements.

If Joe-Patzer can score 50% against Jane-Patzer who gives a flying cupcake?

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But the critical question is if not white needs to know as many variations after 13...Bd7!
For example, does black or white need to know tricks as 14. Nd2 Nxd4! 15. Bxd4 Ba4!


A line having more nuances isn't what determines equality, or advantages.

Quote:
Compare with following sentence:

If you've ever developed a very thorough repertoire then you know how often humans/IM:s/GM:s/theory books are flatly wrong in their evaluations, and worse yet fail to often grasp the right plans.


Much less frequent so long as the computer is used for its intended purpose - blunder checking, and offering the occasionally interesting continuation. Especially when a GM is writing about their area of expertise.
  

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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #11 - 03/06/10 at 12:41:32
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Smyslov_Fan wrote on 03/05/10 at 22:17:51:
Until proven otherwise, I will trust Avrukh's assessment.

Which means that you trust Rubka in this particular case as well, because it gives +=.

BPaulsen wrote on 03/06/10 at 03:10:11:
MNb wrote on 03/05/10 at 09:56:52:

Wrong. Rybka claims += after 14.b3, after which I concluded that a serious evaluation of this position is impossible without a closer look, something I don't have time for now.


I was wrong until his follow-up post.  Grin

No, on this you always have been right. You were wrong on assuming that Rybka gave equality.  Wink

Dean wrote on 03/06/10 at 12:11:43:
Therefore a patzer (or anyone else) who has developed high skill in centaur analysis will of course not just go with Rybka's simple evaluation.

Formulated way too mildly. That patzer will not trust any silicon evaluation at all a priori, but try to apply a set of standards like the ones developed by Grooten as best as (s)he can. That is why I rather trust the evaluation of a patzer like S_F or BPaulsen than one of Rybka.
  

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Dean
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #10 - 03/06/10 at 12:11:43
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Quote:

Night and day difference between "13...Bd7! =", and needing to rely on the long analysis that Rybka puts forth, followed by then trusting the evaluation it gives (because clearly a patzer wouldn't be doing anything besides going by what Rybka evaluates it as at that point).


First a basic point is that "a patzer" in our context means nothing else than someone with significantly lower ELO than a GM. This patzer could have very low or very high skill in chess analysis with computer. The patzer may be dull or having a very high IQ, having no chess talent or having as much chess talent as any GM.

Therefore a patzer(or anyone else) who has developed high skill in centaur analysis will of course not just go with Rybka's simple evaluation.

I think the only reasonable definition of  "=" is that you score 50% against an equally strong opponent.

While this is based on knowledge of the particular position the evaluation will always be partly subjective.

But the critical question is if not white needs to know as many variations after 13...Bd7!
For example, does black or white need to know tricks as 14. Nd2 Nxd4! 15. Bxd4 Ba4!

Quote:

A huge face-palm for thinking that patzer+Rybka is sufficient to evaluate positional elements.


Well... hope that is not how they raise children from where you come from...?

At least Rybka's middlegame evaluation is probably more accurate than you think. It has been calibrated by extensive tests of what scores well in a large set of actual games.

Of course centaur analysis is a team work where you learn more and more about both the weaknesses/strengths of the computer and yourself.

Quote:

If you've ever developed a very thorough repertoire then you know how often engines are flatly wrong in their evaluations, and worse yet fail to often grasp the right plans.


Compare with following sentence:

If you've ever developed a very thorough repertoire then you know how often humans/IM:s/GM:s/theory books are flatly wrong in their evaluations, and worse yet fail to often grasp the right plans.
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #9 - 03/06/10 at 03:10:11
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MNb wrote on 03/05/10 at 09:56:52:

Wrong. Rybka claims += after 14.b3, after which I concluded that a serious evaluation of this position is impossible without a closer look, something I don't have time for now.


I was wrong until his follow-up post.  Grin

Quote:
Williams and Avrukh are both great opening book writers, but I think people overestimate GM:s and underestimate the difference between playing over otb chess and doing centaur analysis.

Clearly Patzer+Rybka > GM Williams+ GM Gordon. But what is really counterintuitive is that 
often Patzer + Rybka >  GM + Rybka.

In freestyle tournaments,  GM:s haven't done that well and "patzers" have won. Kasparov himself noted this in a very insightful recent article on computer chess:

http://www.nybooks.com/articles/23592

He kind of argues that a good analysis process is more important than chess understanding.

And I would guess that most GM:s don't know very much about modern tools like the IDeA analysis in Aquarium. Or how to use Monte Carlo analysis.

Regarding the variation that supposedly equalizes vs Avrukhs line, I found 13.. Bd7! in my own analysis quite a while ago. I used Rybka but didn't just pick the evaluation of course. Black's plan for equalizing is a quick c5.

After 14.b3 for example 14.. cxb3 15. Qxb3 Na5 16. Qc3 (16. Qd3 e5 17. Bd2 c5 18. dxe5 Be6 etc ) b6 17. Rc1 c5! 18. dxc5 Rc8


Night and day difference between "13...Bd7! =", and needing to rely on the long analysis that Rybka puts forth, followed by then trusting the evaluation it gives (because clearly a patzer wouldn't be doing anything besides going by what Rybka evaluates it as at that point).

A huge face-palm for thinking that patzer+Rybka is sufficient to evaluate positional elements.

If you've ever developed a very thorough repertoire then you know how often engines are flatly wrong in their evaluations, and worse yet fail to often grasp the right plans.
  

2288 USCF, 2186 FIDE.

FIDE based on just 27 games.
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Smyslov_Fan
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #8 - 03/05/10 at 23:50:31
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Dean wrote on 03/05/10 at 23:20:16:
 
Clearly Patzer+Rybka > GM Williams+ GM Gordon. But what is really counterintuitive is that 
often Patzer + Rybka >  GM + Rybka.




If you really believe this, then the only reason I can see for buying any opening book is to see what lines patzers and GMs who don't have your computer acumen will play.
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #7 - 03/05/10 at 23:20:16
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BPaulsen wrote on 03/05/10 at 02:31:40:
Let me guess, 13...Bd7 is equal because Rybka says so, right?

If so, let me face-palm now.

I sincerely hope that 13...Bd7 being equal was Williams' assessment, and not some patzer coupled with Rybka.

Quote:
At the European Team Championships I was looking at this line with Stephen Gordon GM, who thought that 10 f3 Nc6!? (this was my original intention) 11 fxe4 Rxf1+ 12 Nxf1! (I believe that this is the only way White can aim to get an advantage, 12 Qxf1 Nxd4 is fine for Black I had this 4 years ago and got a winning position against a GM) 12...dxc4 13 Be3! (13 e3 e5!) I believe that this is a critical position for the evaluation of the whole 7...Ne4 opening. 
And now 13...Bd7!? was Stephens suggestion and he thought that Black might be fine. It does not look a lot worse for Black but maybe White has some edge due to his strong centre.


I found the post of interest on this:

So Williams' assessment himself is somewhere between = and +=, hardly "13...Bd7! =".


Williams and Avrukh are both great opening book writers, but I think people overestimate GM:s and underestimate the difference between playing over otb chess and doing centaur analysis.

Clearly Patzer+Rybka > GM Williams+ GM Gordon. But what is really counterintuitive is that 
often Patzer + Rybka >  GM + Rybka.

In freestyle tournaments,  GM:s haven't done that well and "patzers" have won. Kasparov himself noted this in a very insightful recent article on computer chess:

http://www.nybooks.com/articles/23592

He kind of argues that a good analysis process is more important than chess understanding.

And I would guess that most GM:s don't know very much about modern tools like the IDeA analysis in Aquarium. Or how to use Monte Carlo analysis.

Regarding the variation that supposedly equalizes vs Avrukhs line, I found 13.. Bd7! in my own analysis quite a while ago. I used Rybka but didn't just pick the evaluation of course. Black's plan for equalizing is a quick c5.

After 14.b3 for example 14.. cxb3 15. Qxb3 Na5 16. Qc3 (16. Qd3 e5 17. Bd2 c5 18. dxe5 Be6 etc ) b6 17. Rc1 c5! 18. dxc5 Rc8 


  
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Smyslov_Fan
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #6 - 03/05/10 at 22:17:51
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Dean wrote on 03/04/10 at 21:21:41:
...

Aha, he didn't really check the forum after all, looks more like he lazy-followed some Williams analysis. Pity for him, otherwise it would have been tougher after 13.. Bd7! = 

So I judge the theory duel Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch as 1/2-1/2, black didn't even have to try to defend 7.. a5 or 7... Qe8 Smiley 

This just shows that 'books' will always be more or less quickly outdated and owned by internet forums. And nowadays patzers with the great equalizer Rybka on good HW with computer skills can out-analyze GM:s not yet into the modern world.



Let me start with the highlighted portion of the quote:  Avrukh has shown in his first volume that he does use strong chess engines in his analysis.  I fully expect that he did the same again here, though I haven't bought my copy yet to be sure.

Avrukh can be accused of many things, but "lazy-following" another author doesn't seem to be one of them.  From what little I've seen, I agree completely with BPaulsen's sentiment that "equality" is based on silicon analysis rather than Avrukh's judgement.   

Until proven otherwise, I will trust Avrukh's assessment.
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #5 - 03/05/10 at 10:11:23
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In any case I think the black position contains some resources, so a black player who has spent some time on the position should not be too unhappy even if it were += objectively.  Cool
  
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Re: Avrukh vs. Classical Dutch 1/2-1/2
Reply #4 - 03/05/10 at 09:56:52
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BPaulsen wrote on 03/05/10 at 02:31:40:
Let me guess, 13...Bd7 is equal because Rybka says so, right?


Wrong. Rybka claims += after 14.b3, after which I concluded that a serious evaluation of this position is impossible without a closer look, something I don't have time for now.
  

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