Thx guys.
(@TN I really hope you can point out a few mistakes
) Okay let's start off. But the analysis will come in a few parts.
Part1. BackGround. Diagram 1. Hollis-Florian.
The white rook is in front of the passed pawn. And this is easily the worst position. Better is the defence of the pawn from the side and superior is the position behind the pawn.
Just imagine the position above with the white rook on b8 and the pawn on b7. This would be a dead draw: the white king has no shelter near the b-pawn and can't take help promote it. As soon as it approaches the pawn, black will drive it away with a series of checks.
So white is looking to improve the position of his rook. 1....., Rb2 Black cuts of the white king on the first rank
2.Ke1, The king plans a journey Ke1-d1-c1 when he can move up the board towards the b-pawn.
2......, Kf6
3.f3!?,
Preparing the kings journey by removing the pawns from the second rank. White can afford to put two pawns on the third rank, because as it turns out Black has only time to take one of them.
3....., Rb3
4.Kd2 A critical moment. Most analysts now continue with the logical 4...Rxf3. But Kantorovich offers another idea
4...Ke6!!. This was further worked out in an excellent analysis by Dvoretzky (2003).
I believe this to be blacks only way to draw. 4....., Rxf3? 5.Kc2?, Diagram 2
This was eventually shown to a be a draw.
But I think White can win with 5.Rc7! +-.instead The drawing lines given after 5.Rc7 by Dvoretzky seem insufficient to me.(we will get into this later)
5......, Rxg3? Not the best move, but I've got a very good reason to take this as the main line.
Black's saving line is
5...., Re3! 6.Rc7,Re8
7.b7,Rb8 8.Kd3,Kf5 9.Rxf7+,Kg4 10.Rf4+,Kxg3 11.Rb4 And now the Averbakh/van Wijgerden discovery is
11...g5!!= (Hollis gave the winning line
11...Kh3 12.Ke2,Kg3 13.Ke3, Kh3? 14.Kf3+-. This was cited by van Wijgerden/Averbakh overlooking that
13...g5 would still have secured the draw )
12.hxg5,h4 13.g6,h3 14.g7, h2= 6.Rc7! ,
White goes for a position where his b-pawn is covered from the side. The spectacular
6.Rxf7+?,Kxf7 7.b7 was shown to be a draw, by both Averbakh/van Wijgerden (correcting Hollis who thought it would win as well).
Sure, black cant prevent the promotion of the b-pawn, but in the meantime he erects a fortress on the kingside.
6....., Rg2+ Now Black is a tempo short for the Averbakh/van Wijgerden saving line:
6...Re3 7.b7,Re8 8.Rc8+- and black is too late to put his rook in front of the b-pawn.
7.Kb3, Rg1
Diagram 3
8.Kb2! With the text move Black again faces the problem how to stop b7-b8Q.
On the other hand
8.Kc4?,Rb1 9.b7,Rc1+= offers Black good drawing chances.
10.Kd5,Rb1 11.Kc6, (If the white king does not go to the 6th rank, black keeps giving checks and eventually returns his rook to b1 when the position basically remains unchanged)
11...g5! (note that this is not possible if the king had been on c5 because White would have the answer Rc6+ followed by Rb6)
12.hxg5,Kxg5= (van Wijgerden) 13.Rxf7,Rxb7! 14.Kxb7,h4 15.Rg7+,Kf4= (Black can still lose with 15....Kh4? 16.Rh2+-)
8....., Rg4 8....., Rg2+ 9.Rc2, Rg4 10.Ka3, Rg3+ 11.Ka2+- And white's king manoeuvre allows him to answer
11....Rg4 with
12.b7,Rb4 13.Rb2 +- (finally the rook is behind the passed pawn).
9.Rc3!
Diagram 4
Again white threatens to put his rook behind the b-pawn.
9......., Rxh4 There is nothing else since
9....,Rg2+ is answered by 10.Ka3 +- similar to the line given on move 8.
After 9...Rxh4 white has three ways to win: 10.Rb3,Re4 11.b7,Re8 12.b8Q +- (van Wijgerden)
10.b7,Rb4+ 11.Rb3,Rxb7 12.Rxb7 +- (van Wijgerden).
10.Ka3,Rb4 11.b7,Re8 12.Rc8 +- (Averbakh)
You have to take my word for it that both rook vs. 3p endgames are won for white (or that of the 6-men-table base for that matter).
Blacks pawns and king are simply too far back.
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So far hardly anything new has been presented.
The underlined analyses represents what was allready known. I left out quite a bit of analysis/explanation if it was not relevant for what I want to present.
I only elaborated a bit to explain what is going on after 5....Rxg3, since I need this variation in the analysis to presented.
I have only one last notion to add.
One has to admire analysts like van Wijgerden and Averbakh. Remember that in their days table bases where not available, and most reference books dated from the fifties or early sixties (Smyslov/Levenfish, Cheron and Averbakh's own endgame series in 3 volumes). So they had to check even basic positions for themselves.