Poll
Poll closed Question: Who will win the Euro 2012?
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*** This poll has now closed ***


Poland    
  0 (0.0%)
Russia    
  0 (0.0%)
Czech Rep.    
  0 (0.0%)
Netherlands    
  3 (8.6%)
Portugal    
  1 (2.9%)
Germany    
  11 (31.4%)
Spain    
  6 (17.1%)
Italy    
  3 (8.6%)
France    
  2 (5.7%)
England    
  2 (5.7%)
Sweden    
  1 (2.9%)
Ukraine    
  0 (0.0%)
Greece    
  1 (2.9%)
Either Croatia or Ireland    
  4 (11.4%)
Denmark    
  1 (2.9%)




Total votes: 35
« Last Modified by: Smyslov_Fan on: 06/16/12 at 13:38:19 »
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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Euro 2012 - The Poll (Read 83189 times)
Willempie
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #150 - 06/19/12 at 11:20:21
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TalJechin wrote on 06/19/12 at 08:46:58:


The ref in Spain-Croatia was either the most biased ref in the tm or the Italians had bribed him. Nearly all Croatians got a yellow card and iirc the Spaniards not a single one, Ramos assault was not only a penalty but definitely at least a yellow card. (Mellberg did a very similar thing in the qualifications and got both a red card and suspended for three games.)

One wonders what the point is of having those extra referees in the penalty areas? So far they haven't made a single good call. The job description may actually be "just stand there and never interfere whatever happens".

The Croats shouldnt complain about bribery, I remember quite well how Zagreb all of a sudden lost 7-1 to block Ajax from going to the next CL round. Plus they got an offside goal and no Irish penalty in the 1st round. What goes around, comes around...

That being said, the refereeing has been appalling at decisive moments, in particular when it comes to penalties and red cards. I dont care much for the occasional screw up, but these are decisive moments in the game. But Blatter's mini-me doesnt want cameras anyway because of the charm or somesuch.
  

If nothing else works, a total pig-headed unwillingness to look facts in the face will see us through.
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TalJechin
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #149 - 06/19/12 at 08:46:58
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Mortal Games wrote on 06/19/12 at 08:28:04:
Denmark-Germany - Penalty over Bendtner.
Croatia-Spain - two penalties against Spain
Yesterday, Platini said that he thinks the final will be Spain-Germany. 
I remember recently when I saw a draw live for the Champions League and before the draw something strange hapened and all the results of the future draw a few minutes later appeared on the video wall! The same arbiter from Spain-Croatia was the one of the game Poland-Russia, helping Poland the home team and I hope not to see again Spain or Germany beeing helped because then this Euro lost interest. Its all about money.


The ref in Spain-Croatia was either the most biased ref in the tm or the Italians had bribed him. Nearly all Croatians got a yellow card and iirc the Spaniards not a single one, Ramos assault was not only a penalty but definitely at least a yellow card. (Mellberg did a very similar thing in the qualifications and got both a red card and suspended for three games.)

One wonders what the point is of having those extra referees in the penalty areas? So far they haven't made a single good call. The job description may actually be "just stand there and never interfere whatever happens".
  
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Mortal Games
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #148 - 06/19/12 at 08:28:04
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Denmark-Germany - Penalty over Bendtner.
Croatia-Spain - two penalties against Spain
Yesterday, Platini said that he thinks the final will be Spain-Germany. 
I remember recently when I saw a draw live for the Champions League and before the draw something strange hapened and all the results of the future draw a few minutes later appeared on the video wall! The same arbiter from Spain-Croatia was the one of the game Poland-Russia, helping Poland the home team and I hope not to see again Spain or Germany beeing helped because then this Euro lost interest. Its all about money.
  

It has been said that chess players are good at two things, Chess and Excuses.  It has also been said that Chess is where all excuses fail! In order to win you must dare to fail!
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #147 - 06/18/12 at 22:17:41
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What can Ukraine really expect ? check for breaking news at  http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=AEB0scnJKO4
  
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #146 - 06/18/12 at 17:55:27
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Uhohspaghettio wrote on 06/18/12 at 17:24:44:


Not at all. The way you say "4 or more goals" suggests a level of dominance that is just ridiculous. The game was very evenly matched. Most of those chances you're talking about were half-chances. If Germany could have had four, Netherlands could have had five. Van Persie had many shots that were very close to going in. I suggest you look at the highlights again: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzG7LOHy648 So I don't think it's at all accurate to say "could have had 4 or more goals", it was a very even game. Maybe you think Germany shaded it and deserved to win... I go back to my earlier point about there not being enough games to eliminate chance.



Of course football is an emotional sport, but this hardly warrants immatuare behaviour and calling a different opinion ridiculous. There is also no need for me to see your youtube highlights as I have seen the enitre game (and it baffles me how you would call Badstuber's header a half-chance, consider also that Germany had 9 shots on target and the Netherlands only 6) and it has been widely commented on in many sports newspapers, magazinges and portals (not by some trolls, but by actuall football sports journalists) in countries like England, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and many, many other countries that Germany was simply the better team. 

And even if you feel different than the overwhelming majority of people who actually do know something about football, I am ok with that and can respect your different opinion without the need for bad language.
  
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #145 - 06/18/12 at 17:24:44
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Gueler wrote on 06/18/12 at 00:18:06:
Uhohspaghettio wrote on 06/17/12 at 21:19:30:
[Unfortunately there's a large amount of luck involved in the big tournaments


Please be more specific. What was the large amount of luck with regards to the NL? I do not think that if a team loses all three of its group games that this has anything to do with good luck or bad luck. GER outplayed NL and NL essentially stopped playing and kicked it back a notch after they scored against POR. The NL played way to lethargic against POR and looking at all the counters and changes of POR they deservedly won.


I wasn't specific because I meant in general. In the domestic leagues teams play about 40 games and that way you can be quite sure that the best team comes out on top. The knock-out stage is even more cut-throat admittedly. It's a widely held view that these tournaments don't always produce the best team as the winner. I think in the champions league where there are twice as many games except in the final the element of chance is reduced considerably.    

Gueler wrote on 06/18/12 at 00:18:06:
Can't agree with that. In the GER-NL game, Germany had the qualitatively and quantitavely better chances and I would rather call the NL lucky for not going down with 4 or more goals (remember the header from Badstuder and the free kick from Schweinsteiger in the first half, or Hummels solo or Klose almost getting the ball from the NL goalie to name a few?).


Not at all. The way you say "4 or more goals" suggests a level of dominance that is just ridiculous. The game was very evenly matched. Most of those chances you're talking about were half-chances. If Germany could have had four, Netherlands could have had five. Van Persie had many shots that were very close to going in. I suggest you look at the highlights again: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzG7LOHy648 So I don't think it's at all accurate to say "could have had 4 or more goals", it was a very even game. Maybe you think Germany shaded it and deserved to win... I go back to my earlier point about there not being enough games to eliminate chance.
  
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #144 - 06/18/12 at 15:59:11
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Lou_Cyber wrote on 06/18/12 at 12:37:44:
TalJechin wrote on 06/17/12 at 18:09:27:


  1. internal result                      
  2. internal goal difference               
  (if more than two teams tied)                         
  3. most goals made internaly    
  (if more than two teams tied)   
  4. goal difference (total)               
  5. most goals made (total)    
  6. Uefa-coefficient                       
  7. Fair play during the tm                 
  8. coin flip


I really hope this gets changed asap. Goals have a value of their own, and this is not reflected by these regulations (ask the russians). Just doesn´t get into my head that a team with a +2-score is ranked behind a team with a 0-score.

So why don´t they keep it simple and clean and use the FIFA-rules from south africa 2010?

P.S.: Just read in our paper about even worse regulations ... enjoy:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbados_v_Grenada_%281994%29



Why? I don't understand. If you compare two teams with each other, why not take their direct game first? The same happens in chess (in some round robin tournaments). Direct result first, then some other criteria. That seems most fair. Also, it seems most fair in groups where there is one very weak team and three equal teams that beat one another (so 6-6-6-0), in this case it shouldn't matter what you did with the small team, but it should that you won by more goals against another strong team.

Of course every tiebreak has its pathological case, but I really don't think head to head is as bad as you make it sound. To me it looks better than just goal difference.
  
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #143 - 06/18/12 at 15:25:43
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It´s simple for UEFA, more participating countries mean more games and more attention, i.e. more money.

While this is good news for some smaller european teams who have problems to qualify nowadays (e.g. Norway, Austria, Belgium, Turkey), it is no good news for the leading nations.

Right now qualification to the Euro was about as hard as qualification to the WC (16 countries minus the host for Euro, WC2010 had 13 european qualifiers). Next Euro the qualification groups will be easier. And much more boring for the big nations of course! The only hope is that the qualification groups could be smaller, thus less games to play there.

Instead I would like to something like the Confed Cup for UEFA, a small tourney a year or so before the Euro - to test the locations. Could be with eight teams. Perhaps the host, title holder and 2nd ranked of the last Euro and the five top listed countries in the UEFA-nation-ranking.

For Euro 2012 this would have been a tourney with Ukraine, Poland, Germany, Spain, England, Italy, Portugal and France. This would be better than Germany vs. Montenegro, Faröer, San Maino etc ... no offence meant!!
  

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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #142 - 06/18/12 at 14:39:55
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Dink Heckler wrote on 06/18/12 at 14:23:16:
Yes, that will be the format, although I believe the qualifying format is yet to be decided.

If you exclude the microstates - San Marino et al, then yes, roughly half the teams will qualify. 

I think this will be terribly detrimental to the quality of the group phase, as we'll be more likely to see the top teams play cagily against one another, and then try to whip the minnows. But this is part of a general almost inexorable trend towards bloat in sporting competitions.

Wouldnt it have been easier to invite Brazil, Argentine and 2 other SA teams and call it a real WC? Wink
  

If nothing else works, a total pig-headed unwillingness to look facts in the face will see us through.
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #141 - 06/18/12 at 14:23:16
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Yes, that will be the format, although I believe the qualifying format is yet to be decided.

If you exclude the microstates - San Marino et al, then yes, roughly half the teams will qualify. 

I think this will be terribly detrimental to the quality of the group phase, as we'll be more likely to see the top teams play cagily against one another, and then try to whip the minnows. But this is part of a general almost inexorable trend towards bloat in sporting competitions.
  

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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #140 - 06/18/12 at 14:00:06
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Dink Heckler wrote on 06/18/12 at 13:21:34:
The next iteration will feature 24 teams; madness!  Angry


Think also about what that would mean for the qualifying games, when almost half the continent will be qualifying.

... I assume they will be playing the Euros with 6 groups of 4 teams followed by a round of 16, QF, SF and finals, where the top 2 teams of each group and the best four 3rd teams will qualify for the knockout games like at the WC in 86, 90 & 94.

The only "positive" thing I can think of is that it should be easy for each "bigger" football nation to qualify for the Euros and for the knockout games.
  
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #139 - 06/18/12 at 13:21:34
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The next iteration will feature 24 teams; madness!  Angry
  

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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #138 - 06/18/12 at 12:49:28
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Tal memorial final question for Carlsen today:
What was your best and worse moment in this event?
Carlsen - hum... I dont know, I think it was yesterday when Ronaldo scored two goals.  Grin 
  

It has been said that chess players are good at two things, Chess and Excuses.  It has also been said that Chess is where all excuses fail! In order to win you must dare to fail!
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #137 - 06/18/12 at 12:37:44
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TalJechin wrote on 06/17/12 at 18:09:27:


  1. internal result                      
  2. internal goal difference               
  (if more than two teams tied)                         
  3. most goals made internaly    
  (if more than two teams tied)   
  4. goal difference (total)               
  5. most goals made (total)    
  6. Uefa-coefficient                       
  7. Fair play during the tm                 
  8. coin flip


I really hope this gets changed asap. Goals have a value of their own, and this is not reflected by these regulations (ask the russians). Just doesn´t get into my head that a team with a +2-score is ranked behind a team with a 0-score.

So why don´t they keep it simple and clean and use the FIFA-rules from south africa 2010?

P.S.: Just read in our paper about even worse regulations ... enjoy:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbados_v_Grenada_%281994%29


  

If you try, you may lose. If you don´t try, you have lost.
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Re: Euro 2012 - The Poll
Reply #136 - 06/18/12 at 07:41:40
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Gueler wrote on 06/18/12 at 00:18:06:
Uhohspaghettio wrote on 06/17/12 at 21:19:30:
[Unfortunately there's a large amount of luck involved in the big tournaments


Please be more specific. What was the large amount of luck with regards to the NL? I do not think that if a team loses all three of its group games that this has anything to do with good luck or bad luck. GER outplayed NL and NL essentially stopped playing and kicked it back a notch after they scored against POR. The NL played way to lethargic against POR and looking at all the counters and changes of POR they deservedly won.

Well if the German team would have gotten foor poisoning, the Danes a case of collective blindness and the Portuguese a missing hairdresser we might have gotten 2 points more....
Quote:

It will be interesting to see what will happen next with the Elftal. I would imagine that van Marwijk will have to go and probably that van Bommel's international career is over as well. But otherwise I wonder what else will happen. The main players aren't getting younger. 

Sneijder is currently 28, Robben 28, van der Vaart 29,  Huntelaar 28, van Persie 28, de Jong 27.

What do you guys think? Will this cast of "characters" try again in 2014 in Brazil?

I am already preparing my resume. 
The forwards and midfield arent that big a problem, we just need a good central defender and a better lineup in front of that.
  

If nothing else works, a total pig-headed unwillingness to look facts in the face will see us through.
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