Page Index Toggle Pages: 1 [2] 3 
Topic Tools
Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC (Read 16043 times)
Vandros
Junior Member
**
Offline


I Love ChessPublishing!

Posts: 71
Joined: 07/18/09
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #16 - 05/26/12 at 19:09:29
Post Tools
Gilchrist is a legend wrote on 05/26/12 at 01:08:54:
How does that make preparation more difficult? The circumstances only require that the players spend time on each of the positions, similar to if a professor somehow constructs the semester exam to have 10 questions and tells the students what the 10 questions will be prior to sitting it.

It would be more difficult, since the players do not know what the opponent is going to play....

However, I think that in some positions of those 960, the castling is not consistent from an aesthetic point of view, since the king has "to jump" over the rook to get to the castling position....
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Gilchrist is a legend
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 1039
Location: Manchester, UK
Joined: 03/02/10
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #15 - 05/26/12 at 01:08:54
Post Tools
How does that make preparation more difficult? The circumstances only require that the players spend time on each of the positions, similar to if a professor somehow constructs the semester exam to have 10 questions and tells the students what the 10 questions will be prior to sitting it. It would be similar to some version of Chess960, except the number of positions would be less than 960 and the starting position would have conventional backrank piece settings with a few moves played already on the board.
  

Creo lo que creo no importa lo que creen los demás.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Vandros
Junior Member
**
Offline


I Love ChessPublishing!

Posts: 71
Joined: 07/18/09
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #14 - 05/25/12 at 09:23:12
Post Tools
An idea could be to play some selected positions that are known beforehand to the players.

For example in a round robin tournament of nine games to play every round a different selected position.

Thus the players can prepare, however the preparation difficulty is strongly increased and is open to new discoveries....
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Markovich
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 6099
Location: Columbus, Ohio
Joined: 09/17/04
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #13 - 05/21/12 at 00:23:44
Post Tools
I had the impression that this was a discussion board devoted to A. chess and B. chess opening theory. Since "chess" 960 is not A and is purposely designed to make B irrelevant, it's quite surprising that anyone posting regularly here would rise to its defense. But I don't think its discussion belongs here, because this part of our forum is about chess.

None of the positions initiating a game of chess 960 is legal, for one thing.

I mean, what is the matter, anyway? If you don't like chess, give it up, for all I care. Only don't come here with a load of B.S. about chess being too this or too that. Find yourself a website for people with world-improving schemes, and post there.
  

The Great Oz has spoken!
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Gilchrist is a legend
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 1039
Location: Manchester, UK
Joined: 03/02/10
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #12 - 05/21/12 at 00:17:22
Post Tools
I would not be surprised, especially if there is some new programme, whatever it may be called, Chess960 Opening Theory Version XVI Smiley

If grandmasters can memorise a few hundred 30-move lines in the 6. Bg5 Najdorf, Botvinnik Semi-Slav, etc., I am sure eventually they can memorise Chess960. Or perhaps if not creating theory for all 960 positions, perhaps someone will formulate a better strategy for studying opening theory of Chess960. But for example, in 2025, I am sure Chess960 will have at least a bit of opening theory. It will require more time for this to occur, due to the large amount of starting positions. As I said before, variants are supposed to be played for fun, not to be seriously studied. Yet I considered bughouse, Three Checks, giveaway, etc. too seriously and created some of more than 10-move theory lines. So likewise, sometime in the future Chess960 may accrue theory in some form and then what would be the new mode of avoiding draws via theory?
  

Creo lo que creo no importa lo que creen los demás.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Tricklev
Junior Member
**
Offline


I Love ChessPublishing!

Posts: 72
Joined: 03/12/11
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #11 - 05/20/12 at 22:58:15
Post Tools
I think there is a little to much faith in the memory of the average GM, I seriously doubt that it would be worthwhile studying all the 960 positions and actually come up and remember any decent opening theory. Most likely they would be out of book on move 3.
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Gilchrist is a legend
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 1039
Location: Manchester, UK
Joined: 03/02/10
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #10 - 05/20/12 at 18:51:51
Post Tools
Maybe not now, but perhaps in the close future, there will be computer programmes where one can study all 960 positions concretely, or perhaps if there is a major tournament with this theme, some grandmasters might invest time to study all 960 positions and dedicate opening theory and study to each individual position. Many grandmasters can memorise many 30+ move variations, and with help of some new computer I am sure they can soon study concretely all permutations in the starting position. By this fashion, they can arrive at the board, and when their random position is generated, they will think to themselves, "I prepared for this position (1 out of 960) a few weeks ago."
  

Creo lo que creo no importa lo que creen los demás.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Uhohspaghettio
God Member
*****
Offline


I Love ChessPublishing!

Posts: 515
Joined: 02/23/11
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #9 - 05/20/12 at 13:06:09
Post Tools
Gilchrist is a legend wrote on 05/20/12 at 08:55:06:
Choosing one 960 position per year is just as bad, as the players can still prepare for all 960 positions by compartmentalising their study based on where a pair of pieces are placed, as I mentioned above. But 1. c3 c6/1. d3 d6 does not prevent draws from happening, if both players prepare extremely extensively, which is likely from 2700+ grandmasters.


chess 960 doesn't make the claim people can't "prepare" or "comparmentalize", you can do that for any game, that is just normal chess study. chess 960 only claims that you can't study concrete opening theory in a way that is worthwhile. I wonder if some people are dismissing this idea a bit too easily... chess 960 is supposed to be immune to studying opening theory, not just take players out of book in a casual game. That's how Fischer promoted it.  

Gilchrist is a legend wrote on 05/20/12 at 08:55:06:
Any type of starting position will induce opening preparation, whether in an orthodox or a more unexpected, unorthodox fashion. When I used to play variants (1 0 and 3 0) on ICC, I used to study for hours and days, sometimes even weeks, and create bughouse opening theory with friends, as well as opening theory for crazyhouse, Losers, giveaway, etc. Three Checks actually has an unexpectedly large amount of opening theory if one studies it intensively. No reason why regular chess with a different starting position would have less opening preparation.


As noted earlier opening theory has exploded in the past few decades and yet draws haven't gone up much. If a game starts 1. e3 e6 then for my money that game is much more likely to end a draw, whether they have theory or not on it. Based on current theory couldn't we predict that entering some known d4 opening (possibly a drawish Colle system) would be the best option?
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Gilchrist is a legend
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 1039
Location: Manchester, UK
Joined: 03/02/10
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #8 - 05/20/12 at 08:55:06
Post Tools
Choosing one 960 position per year is just as bad, as the players can still prepare for all 960 positions by compartmentalising their study based on where a pair of pieces are placed, as I mentioned above. But 1. c3 c6/1. d3 d6 does not prevent draws from happening, if both players prepare extremely extensively, which is likely from 2700+ grandmasters.

Any type of starting position will induce opening preparation, whether in an orthodox or a more unexpected, unorthodox fashion. When I used to play variants (1 0 and 3 0) on ICC, I used to study for hours and days, sometimes even weeks, and create bughouse opening theory with friends, as well as opening theory for crazyhouse, Losers, giveaway, etc. Three Checks actually has an unexpectedly large amount of opening theory if one studies it intensively. No reason why regular chess with a different starting position would have less opening preparation.
  

Creo lo que creo no importa lo que creen los demás.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
TalJechin
God Member
*****
Offline


There is no secret ingredient.

Posts: 2892
Location: Malmö
Joined: 08/12/04
Gender: Male
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #7 - 05/20/12 at 08:36:33
Post Tools
Gilchrist is a legend wrote on 05/20/12 at 07:56:24:
TalJechin wrote on 05/20/12 at 07:06:19:

Instead of ugly jumbled 960 positions one might as well decide to start all games with 1.c3 c6, 1.d3 d6 or 1.e3 e6 and then 90% of the theory would be out the window and the game would be roughly equal already so black wouldn't need to simplify to equalise and both sides could play to win from the start.


If players know that 1. c3 c6 is the position they will play, they will prepare for it accordingly. Or do you mean a randomiser machine chooses the position with which to start? If the theme is a randomiser chooses one of eight positions where a pair of pawns are placed on the third rank, then the players can prepare for all eight positions with a computer anyway. Or at least, if I were playing in a major tournament with that randomising theme, I would spend a few hours on 1. c3 c6, 1. d3 d6, etc. Then new theory would be created in those lines and I am sure novelties would be made.


And how does that differ from choosing one 960 position per year?
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Gilchrist is a legend
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 1039
Location: Manchester, UK
Joined: 03/02/10
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #6 - 05/20/12 at 07:56:24
Post Tools
TalJechin wrote on 05/20/12 at 07:06:19:

Instead of ugly jumbled 960 positions one might as well decide to start all games with 1.c3 c6, 1.d3 d6 or 1.e3 e6 and then 90% of the theory would be out the window and the game would be roughly equal already so black wouldn't need to simplify to equalise and both sides could play to win from the start.


If players know that 1. c3 c6 is the position they will play, they will prepare for it accordingly. Or do you mean a randomiser machine chooses the position with which to start? If the theme is a randomiser chooses one of eight positions where a pair of pawns are placed on the third rank, then the players can prepare for all eight positions with a computer anyway. Or at least, if I were playing in a major tournament with that randomising theme, I would spend a few hours on 1. c3 c6, 1. d3 d6, etc. Then new theory would be created in those lines and I am sure novelties would be made.
  

Creo lo que creo no importa lo que creen los demás.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
TN
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 3420
Joined: 11/07/08
Gender: Male
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #5 - 05/20/12 at 07:37:19
Post Tools
Then the solution is simple: Analyse different variations. For instance, Anand and Gelfand have analysed 1.d4 d5 2.c4 c6 3.Nf3 Nf6 4.Nc3 e6 5.e3 a6 6.Qc2 and 6.b3 to death. If you put the same amount of work into 6.Ne5 and your opponent hasn't taken it seriously, you already have an edge. 

Another example: Everyone after 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Nxe5 d6 4.Nf3 Nxe4 5.Nc3 Nxc3 6.dxc3 Be7 plays 7.Bf4 or 7.Be3. However it's not clear that 7.Bd3 is any worse.
  

All our dreams come true if we have the courage to pursue them.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
TalJechin
God Member
*****
Offline


There is no secret ingredient.

Posts: 2892
Location: Malmö
Joined: 08/12/04
Gender: Male
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #4 - 05/20/12 at 07:06:19
Post Tools

As pointed out by Steve Giddins here: (http://stevegiddinschessblog.blogspot.se/2012/05/levellers.html) - the real problem at the top level is that both sides are analysing the same variations with the same tools, getting the same answers.

Instead of ugly jumbled 960 positions one might as well decide to start all games with 1.c3 c6, 1.d3 d6 or 1.e3 e6 and then 90% of the theory would be out the window and the game would be roughly equal already so black wouldn't need to simplify to equalise and both sides could play to win from the start. 

In 960 you would instead get an unknown position that could be simply winning for one side if played on the top level - but I assume the point of 960 is to get an equal start?

The only 960 position I'd find interesting would be the the minor change of Qd1,Ke1 vs Kd8,Qe8 - which I've already advocated here several years ago...
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Gilchrist is a legend
God Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 1039
Location: Manchester, UK
Joined: 03/02/10
Re: Draw rate solution - Discard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #3 - 05/20/12 at 01:13:28
Post Tools
If someone is determined to prepare, they will prepare. If a large tournament were a Fischer Random tournament, I would not be surprised if all the contestants spent a few months with a computer programme trying to construct opening theory for all 960 positions. I think this would be done by compartmentalising all of the types of positions, for example, rooks on a1/h1, rooks on b1/g1, rooks on c1/f1, rooks on d1/e1. Then certain setups will be constructed for Fischer Random, especially in terms of pawn structures based on where certain pairs of pieces are at the beginning of the Fischer Random games.
  

Creo lo que creo no importa lo que creen los demás.
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Uhohspaghettio
God Member
*****
Offline


I Love ChessPublishing!

Posts: 515
Joined: 02/23/11
Re: Draw rate solution - Dicard the "Random" from FRC
Reply #2 - 05/19/12 at 20:04:57
Post Tools
Tricklev wrote on 05/19/12 at 19:44:31:
Has the drawrate really made such a huge leap forward since the 50ies? I faintly remember reading a chessbase article that argued the opposite.


No, little to no increase at all. Notice how he doesn't say "until the draws increase to critical mass" but rather "until the consensus against draws reaches critical mass"... 

Draws have got nothing to do with the lack of popularity of chess. You have to be a very good player in the first place to even understand enough of GM games to follow them. Whoever came up with this idea that draws are a reason should be fired.  
   
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1 [2] 3 
Topic Tools
Bookmarks: del.icio.us Digg Facebook Google Google+ Linked in reddit StumbleUpon Twitter Yahoo