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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Biel 2012 (Read 21173 times)
chk
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #45 - 08/28/12 at 14:58:17
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Just checked here to get an update on Moro. Hope he gets well! He was always my favourite contemporary player with his unique style and tons of imagination..
  

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Vass
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #44 - 08/15/12 at 11:05:52
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As for the Moro withdrawal from Biel due to illness, especially for the unbelievers:
http://whychess.org/en/node/2668
http://chess-news.ru/en/node/8996
Throwing a stone..., you know..  Huh
He missed the Russian Superfinal.. Now the Olympiad..
A chess player that can play such 'fearless' moves as he often does in his games cannot be called a coward.
Let's hope for his quick return to health!  Embarrassed
  
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Stefan Buecker
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #43 - 08/06/12 at 08:46:03
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I believe the 3-1-0 system was suggested by James Mason, circa 1900, maybe a few years earlier. Football later stole the idea. It was meant for round-robin tournaments, of course.
  
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #42 - 08/06/12 at 05:07:22
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Good point Keano. I hadn't thought about that, but a Swiss with 3-1-0 would probably never work.
  
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Keano
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #41 - 08/05/12 at 18:30:12
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Indeed. Well at the moment we are a long way to this becoming the norm, and frankly I think a 3 point for a win system will only work in all-play-all events. Just think about the problems in a Swiss event. For all-play-all events though it's an interesting system that encourages more adventurous chess, but the rating system will clearly remain unaffected.
  
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Girkassa
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #40 - 08/04/12 at 17:03:09
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Mayo wrote on 08/04/12 at 11:09:06:
For instance, the second paragraph. Player A should not necessarily have a higher rating than player B just because of his lower drawing rate. He could very well maintain his rating by having (roughly) the same number of wins and losses provided his opponents have (roughly) the same rating as he does.


Okay, consider the following situation:

Player A and B are both rated 2000. Then they both play two games each, against opponents also rated 2000. Player A wins one and loses one, player B draws both.

In the traditional rating system, both players stay at 2000. Expected score is 1/2, actual score is 1/2. End of story.

If the rating system is based on 3-1-0, though, player A has done a better result (3 points) than player B (2 points). Therefore, player A would now have a higher rating than player B.

The alternative is, as Keano says, to keep the current rating system. But I still think ratings would be misleading if 3-1-0 becomes the norm. In Biel, Carlsen had the highest rating performance even though he faced the weakest opposition (he didn't have to play against himself!) and didn't win the tournament. And if everyone had the same rating before the tournament, Carlsen would have gained the most rating points even though Wang Hao scored more points.

Maybe the effects would be small enough that we could keep the traditional rating system even if 3-1-0 becomes the norm. Thinking about it, ratings would still measure the expected outcome of a single game. But rating performance would be misleading, I think.
  
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Keano
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #39 - 08/04/12 at 12:32:32
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I don't understand this conversation at all - there's no reason to change the rating system. A draw is still a draw and a win is still a win, all that changes is the number of points in the tournament standings and leave the ratings alone. There will always be the number crunchers continually watching rating points and the guys who try to win tournaments.
  
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Mayo
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #38 - 08/04/12 at 11:09:06
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Girkassa wrote on 08/03/12 at 17:44:29:
When it comes to using football score in the rating system, even if a solution is found to calculate the ratings, I think the new ratings would be difficult to interpret.

Let's say player A and player B have the same rating with the traditional rating system. However, player A has a much lower drawing rate than player B. Therefore, with a rating system based on football scores, player A should have a higher rating than player B.

But what does that mean? It means, rightly, that in a round robin tournament with football scores, player A has a higher chance to win than player B. But it also means, wrongly, that when the two players play each other, player A would be predicted to have a higher chance of winning the game.

In conclusion, if football scoring system becomes the norm, I think chess would have to abandon the rating system.


While I understand the general reasoning, I'm not quite sure I follow exactly why things should be as you say.

For instance, the second paragraph. Player A should not necessarily have a higher rating than player B just because of his lower drawing rate. He could very well maintain his rating by having (roughly) the same number of wins and losses provided his opponents have (roughly) the same rating as he does.
And when player A and player B play each other, player A would have a higher chance of winning compared to drawing, but also a higher chance of losing.
And I'm not sure if there's a need to scrap the rating system if the 3-1-0 system becomes a reality. I'm not exactly sure how the Fide rating system works, but when it comes to our national rating in Sweden, once you're above 2200 any rating points you win or lose after a game are divided by half. I guess, if you decide to adapt the rating system, a similar way could be used.
  

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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #37 - 08/03/12 at 17:44:29
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When it comes to using football score in the rating system, even if a solution is found to calculate the ratings, I think the new ratings would be difficult to interpret.

Let's say player A and player B have the same rating with the traditional rating system. However, player A has a much lower drawing rate than player B. Therefore, with a rating system based on football scores, player A should have a higher rating than player B.

But what does that mean? It means, rightly, that in a round robin tournament with football scores, player A has a higher chance to win than player B. But it also means, wrongly, that when the two players play each other, player A would be predicted to have a higher chance of winning the game.

In conclusion, if football scoring system becomes the norm, I think chess would have to abandon the rating system.
  
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #36 - 08/03/12 at 17:22:19
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Congrats to Wang Hao for a deserved and impressive victory! Although I am always rooting for my compatriot Carlsen, I will not complain about the scoring system - the scoring system is there, all the players accept it, otherwise they would not play.

As far as I know, this was the first top-level tournament where the football scoring system produced another winner than the traditional scoring system would have done.

Vass wrote on 08/03/12 at 12:26:14:

This ridiculous football score system helped Carlsen to win one or two tournaments as long as I can remember.


Well, there was London 2010 where Carlsen won with 13 points ahead of McShane and Anand with 11, while they would have had the same score with the traditional scoring system - but Carlsen would have won the tournament on tiebreak anyway. I am not aware of any other examples.
  
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Keano
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #35 - 08/03/12 at 15:48:43
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If you don't agree with the scoring system don't play in the tournament, all the players knew the system before the start and should have prepared accordingly. And yes Wang's victory was well deserved, he played the type of chess to take advantage. Don't forget that he played a beautiful game against Carlsen with the positional pawn sac for domination but gifted a whole 3 points to Carlsen in the end in a bit of a tragedy, so over-all he clear and away deserved it, not even a shadow of a doubt.
  
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Smyslov_Fan
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #34 - 08/03/12 at 15:30:02
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While I agree it's not desirable, it would still be interesting to see how ratings would change if decisive results were given more weight than draws. This would mean that an even match between two players who only win or lose would result in a higher rating than one in which every game was drawn. 

The rating would reflect a combination of combativeness and success at being combative. 

I too have difficulty imagining quite how it would be calculated, which is why I asked.
  
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dfan
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #33 - 08/03/12 at 15:15:01
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Smyslov_Fan wrote on 08/03/12 at 13:37:22:
Wondering aloud here:

If ratings were calculated using football scoring, how much different would the rating performances be, not just for this tournament, but historically?

I don't think the Elo system could handle football scoring elegantly. It produces rating changes by calculating the difference between the expected result of a player and his actual result. Because the actual results of both players always sum to 1, the rating changes are balanced with each other. (I'm ignoring details like different K factors for now.)

With football scoring, the total number of points are not a constant. Imagine a two-game mini match in which both players won once (so the total score is 3-3), and another one in which they drew both games (so the total score is 2-2). Should the players' post-match ratings be higher in the first case? That can't be right.

So I think you'd have to take the tournament as a whole and scale everybody's football scores so that their sum was equal to the total number of games played. That way you don't get any weird deflation. But now you run into another problem: your rating change depends on other players' results. Say you're playing in a 5-player double round robin and you draw all your games. If everybody else draws all their games too, your 8 football points will become 4 points after scaling, just like everyone else. But if everybody else splits their matches win-loss, then they'll each have 11 football points to your 8, and after scaling you'll end up with 3.08 points instead of 4 (if my calculations are correct), a much worse result for rating purposes. I don't think that's desirable either.

In conclusion, I think we're stuck with the sum of both players' scores for a game being a constant for rating purposes, if we want to avoid cases like the above.
  
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #32 - 08/03/12 at 13:48:22
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Smyslov_Fan wrote on 08/03/12 at 13:37:22:
Wondering aloud here:

If ratings were calculated using football scoring, how much different would the rating performances be, not just for this tournament, but historically?

I think ratings will be calculated by the old scoring system. Otherwise there would be a mess.  Shocked
But, it would be good to rewrite the chess history, don't you think? (this last can easily come from such persons as Kirsan and Gary, to name a few.)  Roll Eyes
  
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Smyslov_Fan
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Re: Biel 2012
Reply #31 - 08/03/12 at 13:37:22
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Wondering aloud here:

If ratings were calculated using football scoring, how much different would the rating performances be, not just for this tournament, but historically?
  
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