Smyslov_Fan wrote on 08/13/12 at 15:01:59:
The thing with Usain Bolt is that his career trajectory makes perfect sense when compared with the trajectories of pre-doping athletes. His physique explains his dominance. If you compare Carl Lewis to Usain Bolt, it makes sense that Bolt is faster.
Not really, he is more of an oddball in the sprinting arena. With his build you'd expect him in a lot of sports, but not the 100 meters.
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Of course, it's always possible that every athlete cheats. But I have always watched sports, even in the pre-doping era, to see the truly amazing. Emil Zatopek, Roger Bannister (before my time), Bob Beamon, Mark Spitz, Frank Shorter, Sergei Bubka all, almost certainly, attained their incredible feats without unfair bio-chemical assistance.
First there is no pre-doping era, the ancient Greeks already used performance enhancing stuff. Second in those days the doping was less of an advantage, due to there being less competition and people didnt check or care about it. Heck Merckx (the all time great of cycling) recently admitted using the stuff and nobody cared. The difference now is that the amount/effectiveness is bigger and that it is criminalised up to the point that people should be available for checking 24/7 and that you get prosecuted for taking a cough medicine.
Third I hope Bannister was indeed before your time
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I may be naive, but the incredible performances of the past show that no amount of statistical profiling will be able to explain every great (clean) athletic moment. Bob Beamon's long jump is a case in point.
Of course, on the other hand it can't be excluded either. That's the pity of this era. Luckily at chess we only have coffee as performance enhancing drug, or rather the anti French exchange drug.