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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Cheating scandals in Croatia & Italy (Read 349689 times)
brabo
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #42 - 01/10/13 at 10:13:30
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Keano wrote on 01/10/13 at 09:55:08:
Now we have this Lilov video which is by all accounts ridiculous but I've not seen it and frankly have no interest in seeing it either.

I don't understand why you call Lilovs video ridiculous without having it seen. This is not how I discuss and try to understand the position of somebody else.
  
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Keano
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #41 - 01/10/13 at 09:55:08
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If I had the inclination I'm sure I could but I certainly won't. I'll leave this statistical engine analysis nonsense to the good people at chessbase. I've had some good results before with rating performances over 2500 but even say a performance around 2350 or 2400 there will usually be some decent chess in there somewhere. In this case the lad has had a run of decent results and everyone is keen to mark him out as a cheater, apparently he was searched and they found nothing, for me that should be the end of it. Now we have this Lilov video which is by all accounts ridiculous but I've not seen it and frankly have no interest in seeing it either.
  
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brabo
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #40 - 01/10/13 at 09:48:35
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Keano wrote on 01/10/13 at 09:24:03:


Even at my level when I play a good game my moves usually match Houdini most times, tbh the people who say they are sure this guy was cheating should give their head a shake.


Can you show a game of yours proving this statement? Of course we should be able to check that this game actually has been played. And not a drawn game of 10 moves  but something which can be considered as a full played game (around 40 moves). As a fidemaster, I doubt that any of my games reaches 50% of Houdinis topline (excluding openingtheory). I am just busy analysing one of my games and for practically every move, my engines give other first choice recommendations although often my played moves weren't bad.
  
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brabo
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #39 - 01/10/13 at 09:33:29
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Katalyst wrote on 01/10/13 at 05:39:05:
I agree it's very likely there was cheating here, Lilov's video does nothing to help the situation though.

If you are going to post an hour long video on youtube to prove someone is cheating, for goodness sake at least make it scientific and unbiased. I watched the first 15 minutes and gave up in disgust.

To get a scientific and unbiased document, you need to spend many days with several computers, engines,... I know professor Kenneth Regan did something like that see http://www.cse.buffalo.edu/~regan/chess/fidelity/M-Kaccuse/M-Kresults.txt (case Mamedyarov - Kurnosov) in which clearly was shown that the evidence of cheating wasn't there (contrary to the claim of Mamedyarov).

Personally if I have to play in the future a game against Ivanov then I resign without playing a single move. If organisers then throw me out of the tournament then so be it.
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #38 - 01/10/13 at 09:24:03
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Katalyst wrote on 01/10/13 at 05:39:05:
I agree it's very likely there was cheating here, Lilov's video does nothing to help the situation though.

If you are going to post an hour long video on youtube to prove someone is cheating, for goodness sake at least make it scientific and unbiased. I watched the first 15 minutes and gave up in disgust.


I've not seen it but has Lilov subjected the other GMs to this Houdini comparison? If it was done very scientifically and correctly I might accept that there was some circumstantial evidence but it seems because this chap was not a GM they are picking on him. Even at my level when I play a good game my moves usually match Houdini most times, tbh the people who say they are sure this guy was cheating should give their head a shake.
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #37 - 01/10/13 at 05:39:05
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I agree it's very likely there was cheating here, Lilov's video does nothing to help the situation though.

If you are going to post an hour long video on youtube to prove someone is cheating, for goodness sake at least make it scientific and unbiased. I watched the first 15 minutes and gave up in disgust.
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #36 - 01/10/13 at 05:28:54
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Agreed, Eric. The question isn't even whether he played the best moves. It's whether his moves matched a specific engine's choices. Clearly he didn't always play the most practical moves, but he did play the engine's first choice moves. THAT is the damning evidence. 

It's not enough to convict him perhaps in a criminal case, but in a civil case where the burden is often "the preponderance of the evidence", he would probably be found guilty.
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #35 - 01/10/13 at 05:09:45
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Let me just give one quick example that comes to mind.  I had Black in the following position in my last tournament:

* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
* * * * * * * *
*

Everything wins here.  After letting Rybka run a few minutes, it gives:

1: (#16) 30...d4
2: (-13.90) 30...Qh1+
3: (-10.19) 30...Bh3+
4: (-9.41) 30...Bg4
5. (-8.39) 30...Rb8

What move did I play?  Did I see the mate in 16?  You've got to be kidding, right???  I played the fourth choice, which was clearly winning and absolutely "good enough."  It logically took away the e2-square from White's King, threatening ...Qh1#, and the game was over (actually, it ended 30...Bg4 31.Rg7+ Kh8 0-1, because I didn't even want to bother with calculating taking the Rook on g7).

The fact that this 2270 player consistently found the mates-in-16 instead of taking the "good enough to win" moves, over and over and over and over, is overwhelming evidence that he cheated, IMO.

  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #34 - 01/10/13 at 04:57:57
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TopNotch wrote on 01/10/13 at 03:21:08:

To my mind there is little doubt this Ivanov guy blatantly cheated, although I cannot prove this as fact, the games themselves when analysed as a whole more so than the tournament result in itself speaks volumes.

Regards,

Toppy


Exactly, it's not the tournament result at all in my mind, it's the fact that his play matched Houdini's #1 choice time and time again.  

The sad thing is, there were many times when he could have played the #5 or 6 choice and the result would only have been "0.08" different, and yet he still would have had the same tournament result.  In other words, he could have cheated and left very little evidence.

Many games stand out, but the one where, in a strategic endgame that he eventually blunders with ...Bd6, he plays the #1 Houdini choice something like 60 times in a row is just blatant.

People talk of "proof."  Well, I'm an engineer/scientist, and in my field we don't prove anything, we accumulate evidence and publish it.  The evidence is overwhelming that Ivanov cheated, IMO.
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #33 - 01/10/13 at 03:25:39
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markovich: you should study game theory with some earnestness and talk to actuaries about what can be proved with mathematics

if one is educated to understand the proof and what it really is, it becomes quite obvious what reality is
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #32 - 01/10/13 at 03:21:08
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It will be interesting to see if Ivanov plays in another high profile tournament anytime soon, and more importantly, if he can re-produce the tactical precision exhibited in Zadar.

Unfortunately it is virtually impossible to prove cheating in chess after the fact, no matter how compelling the circumstantial evidence is. In chess one has to be caught in the act red handed, unlike Cycling and other conventional sports where one can administer a blood test and store the sample for many years until science catches up with some of these shameless frauds, case in point, Lance Armstrong.

Until the epo test was created Lance Armstrong had many defenders, using more or less similiar arguments as put forward here. Sadly, devising reliable methods to thwart cheating scumbags without destroying the spirit and enjoyment of competitive chess, is problematic to say the least.

I have studied and played tournament chess for many years against all level of opposition from weak club players to grandmasters and all in between. To my mind there is little doubt this Ivanov guy blatantly cheated, although I cannot prove this as fact, the games themselves when analysed as a whole more so than the tournament result in itself speaks volumes.

There is a natural urge to want to root for the under-dog and to hope that we ourselves can someday accomplish some fantastic feat against all odds, or if not find inspiration in someone else who does. This is what drives the competitive spirit in many of us, and so it should be, but we must guard against schmucks that seek to dupe us, who if successful destroy the integrity of our game and cheapen the legitimate efforts and success of others.             

No doubt this debate will rage on, and I eagerly await the next installment of the Chessbase article.

Regards,

Toppy
  

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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #31 - 01/10/13 at 02:57:02
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I'm not saying that this guy didn't cheat, only that unusual things do tend to happen from time to time. In 2011 my esophagus was punctured in a routine test whereby a probe is put down it to take a sonograph of the heart. Fortunately, after surgery, 10 days in the hospital and three month feeding through a stomach tube, I recovered with full use of my throat. But some of the medical professionals expressed incredulity that this had happened at all, saying that the risk is only 3 in 10,000. Well fine, but if you do 3,300 of these each year -- which, in this particular hospital, they do -- you should expect one punctured esophagus per year!!

Secondly, I fart at those who think they can prove cheating by following along with computers and saying, "See, see!?" I would like to see the results of a blind test whereby these people try to find computerized play in a sample that includes large numbers of games played between strong humans, as well as some where the computer played one side.
  

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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #30 - 01/10/13 at 02:39:20
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Lilov uses too much hyperbole, it's true (he's obviously emotional about this), but come on, guys.  Turn on Houdini and look at the games yourselves, giving Houdini a couple of minutes per move.  There is absolutely NO DOUBT IN MY MIND that this guy was cheating.

The funny thing is, he wasn't even clever about it.  There were many times that the 2nd or 3rd best move was enough to win, but he just kept playing the Houdini-recommended move over and over and over...
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #29 - 01/10/13 at 00:54:16
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I watched the entire Lilov analysis video. While entertaining and somewhat convincing, he is very prone to exaggeration. Whenever he says "no human would EVER play this move", you can pretty much disregard it as hyperbolic nonsense. One instance that sticks out is the move 9.a3 in a Bogo-Indian (~22:30 mark); a normal move that Lilov somehow interprets as clear evidence of computer use (despite admiting it had already been played in two gamess!).

His approach was unscientific and pretty clearly biased (though in fairness I don't think he's representing it as such).

That said, all the evidence against Ivanov seems pretty damning to me.
  
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Re: Cheating scandal in Croatia
Reply #28 - 01/09/13 at 23:39:10
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Uhohspaghettio :

"Another time Lilov talks about him being a pawn up and losing to a 2000 [Metev, I believe] player after dropping a bishop to a non-obvious endgame tactic" 

No, that tactic is obvious to any 2200 Fide - rated player.

I mean seriously, the possibility of Qe5+ if the Black King goes to g7 isn't obvious to a master??? More importantly, this is the same guy who played a tactically perfect game against  Kozul? ...Really?

But it wasn't just that. Borislav also had a complete lack of technique when playing experts . How did he suddenly get capable of crushing 2500 and up within 20 moves out of the opening?
  

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