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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Why not 1.e4 at the top level? (Read 15308 times)
BigTy
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #28 - 02/05/18 at 01:20:37
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IsaVulpes wrote on 02/04/18 at 03:15:21:
Yup, 6.Nc6: is generally seen as the antidote to that moveorder.

an ordinary chessplayer wrote on 02/02/18 at 03:57:14:
But it's telling that after 1.e4 c5 2.Nf3 e6 he always plays 3.d4, which as far as I know does NOT avoid the Sveshnikov: 3...cxd4 4.Nxd4 Nf6 5.Nc3 Nc6 6.Ndb5 d6 7.Bf4 e5 8.Bg5 etc. I don't know of any good way for white to deviate. About the only decent try is 6.Nxc6 but it's hardly advantageous (although I might have missed something there).

I'm not sure about the theoretical verdict, but in practice this line appears to be doing extremely well. 
After 6.Nc6: bc6: 7.e5 Nd5 White scores 64% in my database - which is roughly the same score as he gets against 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Qe7; not exactly the most convincing numbers for Black players considering to pick up that line.



Yeah the more I look at this, the more I think that it's better to just allow a Rossolimo, even if it is not the type of position a Sveshnikov player is looking for.
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #27 - 02/04/18 at 03:15:21
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Yup, 6.Nc6: is generally seen as the antidote to that moveorder.

an ordinary chessplayer wrote on 02/02/18 at 03:57:14:
But it's telling that after 1.e4 c5 2.Nf3 e6 he always plays 3.d4, which as far as I know does NOT avoid the Sveshnikov: 3...cxd4 4.Nxd4 Nf6 5.Nc3 Nc6 6.Ndb5 d6 7.Bf4 e5 8.Bg5 etc. I don't know of any good way for white to deviate. About the only decent try is 6.Nxc6 but it's hardly advantageous (although I might have missed something there).

I'm not sure about the theoretical verdict, but in practice this line appears to be doing extremely well. 
After 6.Nc6: bc6: 7.e5 Nd5 White scores 64% in my database - which is roughly the same score as he gets against 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Qe7; not exactly the most convincing numbers for Black players considering to pick up that line.
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #26 - 02/02/18 at 07:44:05
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6 Nxc6 I think would be the downside. 6 Be2!? isn't easy either.
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #25 - 02/02/18 at 05:38:47
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an ordinary chessplayer wrote on 02/02/18 at 03:57:14:
Stigma wrote on 02/01/18 at 06:29:31:
The Rossolimo has been all the rage for several years, and it's well-known that the main point of that is to avoid the Sveshnikov.
I am not so sure of the second part. I took a look at MVL's white Sicilian games in 2017. There are many, many games with 3.Bb5(+), a 6.f3 Classical vs. Grischuk, a 9.Bc4 Dragon vs. Nakamura, several 6.Be2 Najdorf's. But it's telling that after 1.e4 c5 2.Nf3 e6 he always plays 3.d4, which as far as I know does NOT avoid the Sveshnikov: 3...cxd4 4.Nxd4 Nf6 5.Nc3 Nc6 6.Ndb5 d6 7.Bf4 e5 8.Bg5 etc. I don't know of any good way for white to deviate. About the only decent try is 6.Nxc6 but it's hardly advantageous (although I might have missed something there). So if the Rossolimo is played to avoid the Sveshnikov, then I don't understand what is going on after 2...e6. MVL's opponents were no help to me either, they all played Kan or Taimanov.


Great idea! I am not sure why I did not think of that transposition as a way to play the Sveshnikov, as I have played the White side of it numerous times. I cannot really see a downside to it either, apart from a potential KIA vs. 2...e6 (as played by Fischer), but if Black prepares something against that, it should not be a problem and might be a nice change from the Rossolimo. Sveshnikov books seem to always recommend a 2...Nc6 move order though, which makes me think there might be other downsides to 2....e6. 

Regarding the Anti-Moscow Gambit, as someone who has played and studied both sides of it (though not extensively), I continue to believe that White's compensation is good enough for at least equality between human players, though perhaps in the world of computer chess Black wins. This is far too complex for me to hope to prove or disprove though.
  
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an ordinary chessplayer
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #24 - 02/02/18 at 04:09:32
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CarriedbyGg wrote on 02/01/18 at 07:38:24:
Regarding the Semi-Slav, I think it's correct to say that we do not see it that often compared to other defences against d4 (especially Ragozin and QGD). White may be trying to avoid the Anti-Moscow Gambit because these lines are so irrational that you will have a disadvantage if you are not as well-prepared as a black player might be. Hence, they take on f6 after 5. ... h6
Does somebody else think the same way?
Not me. The strong players I know are not at all afraid of irrational positions, and have confidence in their own preparations. Sometimes they will avoid a theoretical battle, most times they will demand to be shown. To me it's simple logic that after 6.Bh4 dxc4 black stands better. Demonstrating that is beyond my ability, but theory marches on.
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #23 - 02/02/18 at 03:57:14
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Stigma wrote on 02/01/18 at 06:29:31:
The Rossolimo has been all the rage for several years, and it's well-known that the main point of that is to avoid the Sveshnikov.
I am not so sure of the second part. I took a look at MVL's white Sicilian games in 2017. There are many, many games with 3.Bb5(+), a 6.f3 Classical vs. Grischuk, a 9.Bc4 Dragon vs. Nakamura, several 6.Be2 Najdorf's. But it's telling that after 1.e4 c5 2.Nf3 e6 he always plays 3.d4, which as far as I know does NOT avoid the Sveshnikov: 3...cxd4 4.Nxd4 Nf6 5.Nc3 Nc6 6.Ndb5 d6 7.Bf4 e5 8.Bg5 etc. I don't know of any good way for white to deviate. About the only decent try is 6.Nxc6 but it's hardly advantageous (although I might have missed something there). So if the Rossolimo is played to avoid the Sveshnikov, then I don't understand what is going on after 2...e6. MVL's opponents were no help to me either, they all played Kan or Taimanov.
  
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BigTy
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #22 - 02/02/18 at 00:12:25
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Stigma wrote on 02/01/18 at 06:29:31:
BigTy wrote on 02/01/18 at 03:11:24:

I have also noticed an absence of some of my favorite defences, which happen to be quite tactical and subject to deep computer preparation (hence their popularity in correspondence chess). I am thinking mainly of the Semi-Slav and Sveshnikov Sicilian. I remember a few years back when the Anti-Moscow Gambit was all the rage, but now it seems like I never see it anymore (though of course I don't look at every game). Likewise, when was the last time a top GM employed the Sveshnikov in an important game? Even the legendary Najdorf seems to pale in popularity next to 1...e5. 

Maybe you're aware of this, but in both cases it may be largely White that's avoiding these in OTB play. The Rossolimo has been all the rage for several years, and it's well-known that the main point of that is to avoid the Sveshnikov. So the situation is similar to the Marshall Gambit and the Berlin, or whatever other Ruy line the top players are avoiding when they're all playing the Italian and slow Spanish lines these days: These defences are so strong they have become victims of their own success. The Najdorf still has strong defenders like MVL and is seen now and then; the difference there is White players still seem to think it's worth going into instead of avoiding it with some Anti-Sicilian.

For the sharper Semi-Slav lines I'm not sure, but it could be a combination of things. The status of calmer White ways to avoid them, like the Catalan, the Slow Slav, the Exchange Slav and even the London system and the Réti have all improved in the last decade. 

The same is also true of some of Black's alternatives as a "partner defence" to the Nimzo-Indian, like the Queen's Gambit Declined and the Ragozin. The Chebanenko Slav as a calm alternative in the Slav main line also had its time in the sun, but I think I see it less often these days.


You're probably right, though when I do see a Sicilian, it tends to be with 2...d6, heading for a Najdorf, rather than 2...Nc6. Black players probably know that if they play 2...Nc6 they will get a Rossolimo, so they don't bother. 

I play both the Najdorf and the Sveshnikov, and have trouble deciding which one I really want as my main defence to 1.e4. The deciding factor could be the number of Bb5 Sicilians I get after my second move. I definitely see more Rossolimos than Moscows, but fortunately most of the time I get an Open Sicilian, which motivates me to continue playing and studying these openings. That could change though. 

Regarding 1...e5 though, I took it up again for some time last year, reverting to the Zaitsev as my weapon against the Ruy, but I hardly ever got it in an actual game, and when I did, it was usually not a critical line. I was a bit dissapointed in the number of slow Ruys and Italians I was getting, which is probably one factor that pushed me back to playing the Sicilian most of the time. My point here is that it seems as though trends at the top are trickling down to club level, though perhaps it has always been that way. 

Regarding the Semi-Slav, I often wonder why I play it at all considering that almost half my games after 1...d5 are some kind of d-pawn system (usually the London), and even within the Semi-Slav my opponents often dodge the most critical lines (so I end up studying a lot for nothing). I sometimes think that I should just play the Dutch exclusively to ensure an interesting game. Again, this seems to be a result of the London being popular at the top, because some years ago, I hardly saw it at all. 

These trends at the top, besides being ways to avoid ultra-solid defences like the Berlin, perhaps also reflect a growing need for players to not take risks, especially with White. As chess continues to evolve, I feel more and more like White players first of all try to ensure they cannot lose, and only then try to win (hence a preference for the London over the Anti-Moscow Gambit). 

Thoughts? 
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #21 - 02/01/18 at 07:38:24
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Regarding the Semi-Slav, I think it's correct to say that we do not see it that often compared to other defences against d4 (especially Ragozin and QGD). White may be trying to avoid the Anti-Moscow Gambit because these lines are so irrational that you will have a disadvantage if you are not as well-prepared as a black player might be. Hence, they take on f6 after 5. ... h6
Does somebody else think the same way?
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #20 - 02/01/18 at 06:29:31
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BigTy wrote on 02/01/18 at 03:11:24:

I have also noticed an absence of some of my favorite defences, which happen to be quite tactical and subject to deep computer preparation (hence their popularity in correspondence chess). I am thinking mainly of the Semi-Slav and Sveshnikov Sicilian. I remember a few years back when the Anti-Moscow Gambit was all the rage, but now it seems like I never see it anymore (though of course I don't look at every game). Likewise, when was the last time a top GM employed the Sveshnikov in an important game? Even the legendary Najdorf seems to pale in popularity next to 1...e5. 

Maybe you're aware of this, but in both cases it may be largely White that's avoiding these in OTB play. The Rossolimo has been all the rage for several years, and it's well-known that the main point of that is to avoid the Sveshnikov. So the situation is similar to the Marshall Gambit and the Berlin, or whatever other Ruy line the top players are avoiding when they're all playing the Italian and slow Spanish lines these days: These defences are so strong they have become victims of their own success. The Najdorf still has strong defenders like MVL and is seen now and then; the difference there is White players still seem to think it's worth going into instead of avoiding it with some Anti-Sicilian.

For the sharper Semi-Slav lines I'm not sure, but it could be a combination of things. The status of calmer White ways to avoid them, like the Catalan, the Slow Slav, the Exchange Slav and even the London system and the Réti have all improved in the last decade. 

The same is also true of some of Black's alternatives as a "partner defence" to the Nimzo-Indian, like the Queen's Gambit Declined and the Ragozin. The Chebanenko Slav as a calm alternative in the Slav main line also had its time in the sun, but I think I see it less often these days.
« Last Edit: 02/01/18 at 07:51:46 by Stigma »  

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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #19 - 02/01/18 at 03:11:24
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MartinC wrote on 03/13/17 at 09:11:28:
Yes, that's the real difference - not 1 e4 vs d4 but lots of really, really slow positions. Computers of course.


I've noticed that too, based on my limited attention to top level games. It seems like there are a lot of Italians, slow Ruys, and 1.c4/1.Nf3 English type stuff -- though there perhaps things are not so worked out, which is maybe why top level players are playing it more and more (or so it seems). 

I have also noticed an absence of some of my favorite defences, which happen to be quite tactical and subject to deep computer preparation (hence their popularity in correspondence chess). I am thinking mainly of the Semi-Slav and Sveshnikov Sicilian. I remember a few years back when the Anti-Moscow Gambit was all the rage, but now it seems like I never see it anymore (though of course I don't look at every game). Likewise, when was the last time a top GM employed the Sveshnikov in an important game? Even the legendary Najdorf seems to pale in popularity next to 1...e5. 

I think theoretically these openings are quite fine for Black, and that perhaps top players are avoiding them simply because they are a little TOO worked out in many lines. Either that, or, as mentioned, there has been a stylistic change partially due to the success of the world champion. 

Thoughts?
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #18 - 01/31/18 at 15:01:32
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it's great that there are so many active people here!
  

Do professional course works and became champion
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #17 - 03/13/17 at 15:33:58
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And a dominant world champion's influence! We haven't had that feeling since Kasparov.

In the 90s it seemed to me quaint that Capablanca and Lasker had been dominant without too much theory. "He simply didn't need it,"  Fine said of Capablanca. And of Lasker, he "had no style; his style was the style of the best player." "Yeah, right," I thought. "Try that today. Our computers show how to equalize or better instantly."

And they do! But lo and behold, today there is another whose style is the style of the best player, and--he just doesn't need it.

People say the slow games are because computers analyze out to equality, and no doubt that is important, but I think fashion also plays a role. Or permission, which amounts to the same thing--Carlsen has legitimized it. And none of our top players today is willing to destroy the other areas of his life with workaholism the way Kasparov did. 

Well, much as I prefer this state of affairs, I'm betting that someday a different champion will reverse it.
« Last Edit: 03/14/17 at 13:51:33 by ReneDescartes »  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #16 - 03/13/17 at 09:11:28
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Yes, that's the real difference - not 1 e4 vs d4 but lots of really, really slow positions. Computers of course.
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #15 - 03/13/17 at 01:14:22
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2500 GM's, with all due respect to them, are not the very top players in the world. That is why I took 2750+.

Actually I just performed this exercise to provide a stat. It should be obvious to anybody who has been watching top level tournaments over the last year that 1.e4 is having its heyday right now.

RenesDescartes is right, there was a time of mini-crisis of confidence in 1.e4, but that time has well and truly passed.

btw watch even Kramnik now, his handling of the Italian game is immense, the number of Italians and slow Spanish positions played in top level chess is simply astounding now.
  
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Re: Why not 1.e4 at the top level?
Reply #14 - 03/12/17 at 13:43:30
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There hasn't been a World Champion who strongly preferred playing 1.e4 since the reigns of Fischer and Karpov, while both Karpov and Kasparov made statements about switching their emphasis to 1.d4. The Berlin Wall was a bombshell in 2000 that Kasparov said created a new era in opening theory. It's an interesting question whether the popularity of 1.e4 has actually diminished amidst changing attitudes.

I think it depends on how you cut the data. I looked at a cutoff at the decade in Megabase and found that among games with both players 2500+, 1.e4 (ECO B00-C99) accounted for 45.3% of games 2001-2010, but only 40.1% of games 2011-2017.  Yet overall, it doesn't seem like a very important quantitative shift. The Berlin Wall definitely changed the psychology of 1.e4 in 2000, but after investigating a little it seems not the proportions. Keano's statistics about last year are also very clear in the other direction. 

So perhaps we should separate the issues of the statistical popularity of 1.e4 from issues of its changing perceived nature.  After all, whatever the lumped statistics say, the openings are finely-tuned tools that should be and are used differently in different situations and by different players. For example, the most telling king's-pawn moment in the recent world championship match occurred when Carlsen, with White, was down by a point with only three classical games left. He chose 1.e4. Perhaps what  he then got was what he expected and wanted--a grind.
« Last Edit: 03/13/17 at 00:59:07 by ReneDescartes »  
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