Poll
Poll closed Question: Who will be the next French president?
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S. Royal    
  3 (42.9%)
N. Sarkozy    
  3 (42.9%)
It does not matter    
  1 (14.3%)




Total votes: 7
« Created by: thibdb13 on: 05/05/07 at 07:18:51 »
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Hot Topic (More than 10 Replies) Next French president (Read 11206 times)
Dji
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Re: Next French president
Reply #21 - 05/11/07 at 08:15:35
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[quote author=MNb link=1178349533/15#20 date=1178848662][quote author=Uberdeker link=1178349533/15#15 date=1178791452] I have read some unrefuted theories (from not-extreme Americans), that especially Cheney had financial interest via his former companies in the Iraq war.

That's not a big secret ,and how imagine he is the only one !!



. What was even worse, every human being with enough information and a little common sense could see it happen from the earliest beginning.

ooooh  yeeeah!!! i'm not particulary informed or intelligent but  i swear that i 've seen the come back of islamist before the beginning of the war (not lol)
I want to add that, in those days (the beginning of the war) ,Sarkosy was the ONLY french's political support of Bush. (this time lol)
« Last Edit: 05/11/07 at 20:31:03 by Dji »  

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MNb
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Re: Next French president
Reply #20 - 05/11/07 at 01:57:42
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Uberdecker wrote on 05/10/07 at 10:04:12:
OK. I have to agree that Bush never had any idea what was going on. But this was a very special case. The people who were really in power (Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld) did know exactly what they were doing and it was not incompetence that triggered the war in Irak. It was ruthless, single-minded sel-interest and totalitarianism. I can assure you they were not too stupid to realise that there were no weapons of mass destruction and that they would be able to sack the region of its oil.


Here I completely agree. This self interest needed Bush as a masqotte. As you will probably know, the most convincing liars are those, who believe their own lies. You see, in a cynical way I think Bush is sincere.
I have read some unrefuted theories (from not-extreme Americans), that especially Cheney had financial interest via his former companies in the Iraq war.

Uberdecker wrote on 05/10/07 at 10:04:12:
Likewise, although I still feel the comparison to be rather silly, Royal would have been very closely "advised" by competent politicians of international stature such as Jacques Delors and Dominque 
Strauss-Kahn. My guess is that no terribe blunders would have been commited.


See Willempie's reaction. Of course I cannot be sure, but I shared his fear.

Uberdecker wrote on 05/10/07 at 10:04:12:
My repulsion of Sarkozy is based mainly on his domestic program (destruction of social protection and securitarianism), but I can I understand that a foreigner's opinion would be swayed by his international actions. We'll see what you think of him when he enrolls in America's next campaign in Iran or Syria. It was not enough to dislike him. He had to be stopped.


As I think Sarkozy is smarter than Bush, I am pretty sure, he will not involve France in a war that is doomed to be lost. This is exactly what Bush did. What was even worse, every human being with enough information and a little common sense could see it happen from the earliest beginning.
On such matters I am a Macchiavellist myself.  I don't give a d##n about Saddam Hussein, UN-legitimacy or whatever. The question I ask is simply this: has the invasion of Iraq contributed to a bigger safety of the world? Has it improved the circumstances of the Iraq people? Has it contributed to political stability in the Middle East?
The answers are clearly no and were clearly no back in 2003. I am very sure, Macchiavelli would have disapproved of Bush' policy, for the simple reason, that the USA has lost more than it has gained. Once again, I think Sarkozy is smart enough to avoid such mistakes (well, stupidities that is).
  

The book had the effect good books usually have: it made the stupids more stupid, the intelligent more intelligent and the other thousands of readers remained unchanged.
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zoo
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Re: Next French president
Reply #19 - 05/10/07 at 12:13:12
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It's nice to see people here showing such interest and knowledge in French politics. I dare just say that Ms Royal is not exactly incompetent, since she was in President Mitterrand's staff back in the eighties, and is currently head of a "region" (like a german Land or midsize U.S. State) she won to ex-Prime Minister Raffarin. Such background should come in handy if she intends to defend her fresh leadership against the socialist lifetime candidates (aka "elephants"). As for Sarkozy, he  must hold his pace until the mid-june election of Chamber of Deputies also gives him a right-wing majority, which is likely to happen. Since the Chamber of Deputies can veto the government, the Prime Minister has to be chosen according to the majority of deputies, which explains why Chirac was P.M. under President Mitterrand, and then socialist Jospin was P.M. under President Chirac. Such are French politics Smiley      
  
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zoo
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Re: Next French president
Reply #18 - 05/10/07 at 11:27:21
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Dji wrote on 05/08/07 at 15:24:25:
Quote:

" Here lies a famous Cardinal
  Who did the Good and did the Bad.
  The Good he did, he did it bad,
  The Bad he did, he did it good."

  Je la connais pas celle-là!
   En français cela donne quoi! Tongue

I guess the original epitaph was :
"Ci-git un fameux Cardinal
Qui fit le bien et fit le mal.
Le bien quil fit, il le fit mal,
Le mal qu'il fit, il le fit bien".
  
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Willempie
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Re: Next French president
Reply #17 - 05/10/07 at 10:59:00
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Uberdecker wrote on 05/10/07 at 10:04:12:
OK. I have to agree that Bush never had any idea what was going on. But this was a very special case. The people who were really in power (Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld) did know exactly what they were doing and it was not incompetence that triggered the war in Irak. It was ruthless, single-minded sel-interest and totalitarianism. I can assure you they were not too stupid to realise that there were no weapons of mass destruction and that they would be able to sack the region of its oil.

I disagree here 100% with the motivation of Iraq. Iraq is a problem, not because Cheney et al are warmongering synical egotrippers (they may still be though Wink), but exactly because they are ideoligically motivated. A lot of the problems stem from the inherent neo-con assumption, that everyone will love democracy once a dictator is gone. A bit analogous to post-war Germany or Japan.
Quote:

Likewise, although I still feel the comparison to be rather silly, Royal would have been very closely "advised" by competent politicians of international stature such as Jacques Delors and Dominque 
Strauss-Kahn. My guess is that no terribe blunders would have been commited. 

I am rather unsure about that. Firstly I think they have a certain foreign agenda they want to push through, for example with the EU-constitution, which means that Royal would personally have been involved quite a lot. Secondly the PS is a mess at the moment, so the potential for internal problems leading to foreign screwups is rather high (a bit analogous to the Chirac-Sarko trouble domestically).
Quote:

My repulsion of Sarkozy is based mainly on his domestic program (destruction of social protection and securitarianism), but I can I understand that a foreigner's opinion would be swayed by his international actions. We'll see what you think of him when he enrolls in America's next campaign in Iran or Syria. It was not enough to dislike him. He had to be stopped.

I dont like the guy either, but France needs reforms and a change in foreign agenda at some points. Plus Sarko isnt the demon the left makes him out in the press. He did do some stuff forr the immigrants. Granted he could have done more, but it is more than nothing. Plus I share his opinion on the rioters. If people start burning my car, because they disagree with a proposal, they are scum and should be punished heavily.
  

If nothing else works, a total pig-headed unwillingness to look facts in the face will see us through.
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Re: Next French president
Reply #16 - 05/10/07 at 10:58:55
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Uberdecker wrote on 05/10/07 at 10:04:12:
(Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld)


Looks like the chesspub censors are at work here! Grin Grin Grin. Well, as far as i'm concerned, the man with the censored name is indeed as his name is. The same with Rumsfeld AND Bush.
  

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Uberdecker
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Re: Next French president
Reply #15 - 05/10/07 at 10:04:12
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OK. I have to agree that Bush never had any idea what was going on. But this was a very special case. The people who were really in power (Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld) did know exactly what they were doing and it was not incompetence that triggered the war in Irak. It was ruthless, single-minded sel-interest and totalitarianism. I can assure you they were not too stupid to realise that there were no weapons of mass destruction and that they would be able to sack the region of its oil.
Likewise, although I still feel the comparison to be rather silly, Royal would have been very closely "advised" by competent politicians of international stature such as Jacques Delors and Dominque 
Strauss-Kahn. My guess is that no terribe blunders would have been commited. 
My repulsion of Sarkozy is based mainly on his domestic program (destruction of social protection and securitarianism), but I can I understand that a foreigner's opinion would be swayed by his international actions. We'll see what you think of him when he enrolls in America's next campaign in Iran or Syria. It was not enough to dislike him. He had to be stopped.
  
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MNb
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Re: Next French president
Reply #14 - 05/10/07 at 01:12:46
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[quote author=Uberdeker link=1178349533/0#9 date=1178464556][quote author=MNb link=1178349533/0#5 date=1178396670][quote author=Willempie link=1178349533/0#1 date=1178364204]Ah the cute incompetent vs the guy with some weird ideas ;D
Pity Bayrou didnt make it :-/[/quote]
The weird ideas will prevail. We should be happy with it, as incompetence usually is even more harmful, as Bush has proved once again last few years.
[/quote]

This is really a very bad example.  Bush's war-mongering, securitarian ideas and reactionary stances have done infinitely more harm than his incompetence. The incompetence of Ségolène Royal is nothing to be afriad of. She would not have made any subtancial economic or social reforms. The country would simply have stagnated as it has since the creation of the 5th republic. The French could easily have lived with that. [/quote]

I strongly dispute, that Bush had any (even war-mongering, securitarian and reactionary) idea of what he was doing, especially in Iraq. His IQ is simply not high enough. Please listen back, to what Bush said about the Iraq-invasion and Saddam Hussein in 2003. It is simply impossible to contradict such factual nonsense.
I was also quite afraid of the (international) blunders Mme Royal would have committed as a French president. Please note: my natural sympathy was with her. No way I would ever have voted for Sarkozy. Probably I would have stayed home.
Actually it has become clear, that 55% of the French electorate could [i]not[/i] live with the incompetence of Mme Royal. I am afraid, that I can do nothing but understand that.
  

The book had the effect good books usually have: it made the stupids more stupid, the intelligent more intelligent and the other thousands of readers remained unchanged.
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Re: Next French president
Reply #13 - 05/09/07 at 16:52:51
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En gros, mais je ne suis pas traducteur :
" Ci-git le célebre Cardinal Richelieu
qui a fait des bonnes choses et des choses mauvaises
les bonnes, il les a mal faites
les mauvaises, il les a bien faites"


" Here lies a famous Cardinal 
Who did the Good and did the Bad. 
The Good he did, he did it bad, 
The Bad he did, he did it good
  
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Dji
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Re: Next French president
Reply #12 - 05/08/07 at 15:24:25
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Quote:

" Here lies a famous Cardinal
 Who did the Good and did the Bad.
 The Good he did, he did it bad,
 The Bad he did, he did it good."

  Je la connais pas celle-là!
   En français cela donne quoi! Tongue
  

Eternity it's very long especially towards the end!
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Dji
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Re: Next French president
Reply #11 - 05/08/07 at 14:54:21
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thibdb13 wrote on 05/06/07 at 06:16:47:
For a country where it still is considered normal that communists could be in the government, the time has come to have a president who dares to go against such extreme (and dangerous) ideologies as communism or trotskism.


You know now extreme left and communist are before all: anti-liberal and anti-globalist (the french word 'alter-mondialiste' is more positive) and it's a by no mean easy to say what is the more dangerous for the earth planet and all the life (human or not)
  

Eternity it's very long especially towards the end!
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Dji
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Re: Next French president
Reply #10 - 05/08/07 at 14:27:32
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[quote author=Uberdeker link=1178349533/0#8 date=1178452102] . Only the ideas of the extreme right have been receiving ligitimacy recently and have fueled Sarkozy's rise to presidency. Where do you think all LePen's votes from 2002 have gone ? . [/quote]

Very good analyse!!
  

Eternity it's very long especially towards the end!
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Uberdecker
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Re: Next French president
Reply #9 - 05/06/07 at 15:15:56
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[quote author=MNb link=1178349533/0#5 date=1178396670][quote author=Willempie link=1178349533/0#1 date=1178364204]Ah the cute incompetent vs the guy with some weird ideas ;D
Pity Bayrou didnt make it :-/[/quote]
The weird ideas will prevail. We should be happy with it, as incompetence usually is even more harmful, as Bush has proved once again last few years.
[/quote]

This is really a very bad example.  Bush's war-mongering, securitarian ideas and reactionary stances have done infinitely more harm than his incompetence. The incompetence of Ségolène Royal is nothing to be afriad of. She would not have made any subtancial economic or social reforms. The country would simply have stagnated as it has since the creation of the 5th republic. The French could easily have lived with that.
  
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Uberdecker
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Re: Next French president
Reply #8 - 05/06/07 at 11:48:22
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You mean it is time for reactionary populism to take over ? While, I certainly wouldn't feel at ease with the communists or trotskyists in power, they do not pose any threat at the moment. Only the ideas of the extreme right have been receiving ligitimacy recently and have fueled Sarkozy's rise to presidency. Where do you think all LePen's votes from 2002 have gone ? For those who don't know, LePen is a far right politician who made the second round last election ahead of the moderate socialist Jospin. As much as am wary of the reds, the threat to democracy is not coming from them.
  
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thibdb13
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Re: Next French president
Reply #7 - 05/06/07 at 06:16:47
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For a country where it still is considered normal that communists could be in the government, the time has come to have a president who dares to go against such extreme (and dangerous) ideologies as communism or trotskism.
  

Yusupov once said that “The problem with the Dutch Defence is that later in many positions the best move would be ...f5-f7” but he is surely wrong.
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