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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) C44: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani (Read 40419 times)
TalJechin
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #13 - 05/07/11 at 09:07:58
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How come no one uses the chessflash tags anymore? (pgn /pgn) Maybe we need a board symbol to click for inserting games / analysis?
« Last Edit: 05/07/11 at 12:22:11 by TalJechin »  
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #12 - 05/07/11 at 07:29:26
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As it happens Aagaard got the chance to test this out a few months later:



The opening seemed quite good for White anyway. Fritz suggests 18 Rd3 or 18 Rd4 as possible improvements (intending to switch to the h-file).
« Last Edit: 05/07/11 at 11:12:37 by GMTonyKosten »  

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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #11 - 05/07/11 at 00:56:46
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23...Bd4 24 Bh4 +=. if 24...c5, then 25 dxc6 Bxc6 26 b4 and White is slightly better due to Black's weak d6-pawn, slightly more active king, and clear plan of advancing the queenside pawns.
  
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MNb
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #10 - 05/06/11 at 21:19:28
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Typo, I meant 18.Kc2 indeed.

Bd7 is not bad as only one black pawn is fixated - on a black square. Anyhow Black will play 23...Bd4 after which White cannot advance the queenside pawns properly and Black is ready for ...c5. Capturing ep will activate Bd7 while not capturing it will stifle all white ambitions on the queenside. As soon Black plays Ke7 this King is just as active. White has nothing.

Anonymous3 wrote on 05/06/11 at 20:41:13:
MNb, please stop all this childish stuff! If not, I will put in a complaint to Tony.

Go ahead, make my day. Just repeating doesn't make something true. I don't withdraw any of my words above.

Having written that, the quality of your last reaction is much better, even if it contains much less moves.
  

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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #9 - 05/06/11 at 20:41:13
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MNb, I think 16...Rh5 is probably the best move and slightly bette than 16...Re8 because your usually going to have to move the h4 rook to h5 at some point to be able to get it back into play and 16...Rh5 prevents Black from making any other committal move like 16...Re8 which  allows White to simplify the position into a slightly better endgame than 16...Rh5 allows. 

After 16... Re8 17 Rxe8+ Bxe8, your 18 Kc1 is illegal! (A piece can't move to the square it's currently on! I'm not sure if you knew that.) I'm assuming you meant 18 Kc2 and after 18...Bd7 19 h3 Rh5 20 c4 Re5 (This may not be the strongest line for either color but is the line you gave. Anyway, I think this line is better for White) 21 Bc3 Re8 22 Re1 Rxe1 23 Bxe1 White has a slightly better endgame due to Black's bad d7-bishop, slightly more active king, and a clear plan of advancing the queenside pawns.

All the moves I gave weren't originally on top of Rybka's list and the assessments weren't exactly the same. 

I actually have been criticised just for using computer evaluations. I'm not using computers to "Attack GM Evaluations" but using them to help analyze positions and assist me in why I disagree with others evlaluations.  

MNb, please stop all this childish stuff! If not, I will put in a complaint to Tony. I would like this thread to be a serious thread about 8 Nd2!.
  
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #8 - 05/06/11 at 20:27:38
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Fllg wrote on 05/06/11 at 18:40:12:

This is a minor line in a very minor opening. I have never ever faced the Ponziani in 27 years of tournament practice and this is unlikely to change since there are far more attractive ways to play for White.

Ironically, I've faced it 3 times as black, all against the same much higher rated opponent (around 350 rating points, USCF), and I scored 2.5/3 against it, with no opening preparation whatsoever. I think I'm the reason that guy gave up playing the Ponz. Grin

FYI, I played 3. ... d5 the first time, without knowing that it was one of the two main book moves. I've since decided that line is lots of fun, so I'll stick with it if it ever comes up again in the future.
  

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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #7 - 05/06/11 at 20:06:46
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Anonymous3 wrote on 05/06/11 at 17:40:56:
I'm not sure what line you are referring to with your 16...Rh5 and 16...Re8 analysis.

There are a lot of 16...Rh5 moves in your opening post indeed which can be replaced by 16...Re8.

Anonymous3 wrote on 05/06/11 at 17:40:56:
MNb, I didn't simply copy Rybka (3) (and Fritz 11's) analysis.

OK, then it's just your genius which caused the remarkable fact that every single move you gave in your OP was on top of Rybka's list - plus that the assessments are exactly the same.

Anonymous3 wrote on 05/06/11 at 17:40:56:
I've gotten criticized before about using a computer to help my analysis

No, you've got criticized before about the way you use your computers - and use them to attack GM-evaluations. But now I understand that your genius has not been recognized yet.

Alas I am neither a GM nor a chessgenius, so you still will have to explain why 16...Rh5 in line a1 is better than 16...Re8 and how White will refute the latter move, to use the word in the title of this thread.
  

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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #6 - 05/06/11 at 18:40:12
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Frankly, I don´t understand what point you are trying to make here.

Surely there are more attractive ways to play for Black against the Ponziani but even if White has a very small plus in the lines you suggested the positions are fully playable for Black.

Also I don´t think it is "easy to understand why White is better" since at best White only has the better side of a draw but no way to force a substantial advantage. This hardly qualifies as a refutation. Perhaps you can enlighten us here?

This is a minor line in a very minor opening. I have never ever faced the Ponziani in 27 years of tournament practice and this is unlikely to change since there are far more attractive ways to play for White.
  
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #5 - 05/06/11 at 17:40:56
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I've gotten criticized before about using a computer to help my analysis which is funny since as you say Markovich it's the only way to do things nowadays. MNb just seems to constantly criticize me for no good reason. 

MNb, I didn't simply copy Rybka (3) (and Fritz 11's) analysis. If I had done that, it would have been a fair criticism since the analysis and evaluations would most likely have been poor. I worked with the computers to find the best moves and true assessment of the positions. You need  to make sure your criticism is valid before you criticizel 
I wasn't giving complete analysis of 8 Nd2! but was mainly trying to refute Aagaard's analysis. This is why I didn't mention 10 Qf3 Qf6 and 11...Qe7+ 12 Kf1 (which was played by Tony, as Black, in his own game he analyzed and Aagaard admitted that this might give White a slight advantage) Also, I'm not sure what line you are referring to with your 16...Rh5 and 16...Re8 analysis. 

Hacker, I agree with you that sometimes it is nice to have an explanation that explains the evaluation of the position but here if you look at the lines, I think it is easy to understand why White is better. 
  
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #4 - 05/06/11 at 17:05:10
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I think it is great that people publish analysis they have carried out with help of Fritz or Rybka. That's how we work today.

It would also be great if ”White is better” or ”=” after these analysis could be replaced by verbal judgement telling why I (and Rybka) think ”White is better” or why ”=”. In that case human is adding value to the machine and there is a statement that really could be discussed. (It also goes for a lot of opening books, I think.)
  

What kind of proof is that?
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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #3 - 05/06/11 at 15:19:24
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Markovich wrote on 05/06/11 at 14:35:31:
I hope this last does not imply that someone shouldn't use silicon to help his analysis.

You know better than that. I just object merely copying silicon lines and assessments without scrutinizing them. And I suspect that's the case here.
  

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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #2 - 05/06/11 at 14:35:31
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I hope this last does not imply that someone shouldn't use silicon to help his analysis. It's a tricky business, but nowadays it's really the only way just about everyone does home analysis.
  

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Re: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani analysis
Reply #1 - 05/06/11 at 12:01:11
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Nice, but incomplete copy of Rybka's analysis. In line a1) you forgot to let Rybka check 11...Qe7+ though. You also forgot to mention Rybka's proposal 10.Qf3 Qf6.
Iso Rybka's proposal 16...Rh5 there is 16...Re8. I know Rybka rates it as third best move at this point, but after 17.Rxe8+ Bxe8 18.Kc1 Bd7 19.h3 Rh5 idea 20...Re5 you may tell the chessworld how White should make progress.
  

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C44: Refutation of Aagaard's 8 Nd2(!) Ponziani
05/06/11 at 08:59:02
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1 e4 e5 2 Nf3 Nc6 3 c3 Nf6 4 d4 Nxe4 5 d5 Ne7 6 Nxe5 Ng6 7 Nxg6 hxg6 8 Nd2! GM Tony Kosten analyzed this move in his June 2007 Chesspub. update. The move might not look like anything special at first but once you see the variations you'll hopefully appreciate the subtleties of this move and agree with me that it's actually a great move that gives White a slight advantage. Black's position is passive and has to worry about the safety of his king. Even if it's not better for White, White has the easier position to play and it's actaully very tricky for Black to meet correctly if he's unprepared. 

In the thread "Beating the Open Games 2nd Edition" (http://www.chesspub.com/cgi-bin/yabb2/YaBB.pl?num=1214079417/15) (which is locked and is why I can't post this there) GM Jacob Aagaard said it was just a random move in response to why Mihail Marin didn't adress this in the 2nd edition of "Beating the Open Games". He tried to give improvements to Tony's analysis to support his claim but Tony said "I don't think it is as easy for Black as Jacob seems to think" and I don't think his analysis is very strong. 

I'm not a subsriber to Chesspub. anymore so I don't have Tony's analysis but most of the following is my attempt to refute Aagaard's analysis and I think most of the moves he gave are moves that Tony didn't mention so it doesn't matter that I don't have Tony's analysis.

a) 8...Nxd2 9 Bxd2 now:

a1) 9...Bc5 10 Bd3 (Tony said "Maybe 10 Qf3 is even more accurate") 10...d6 11 Qf3 Qh4 12 0-0-0 Bg4 13 Qe4+ Kf8 14 f3 Bd7 Aagaard assesses this position = but I think White is slightly better, for example, 15 Qxh4 Rxh4 16 Rde1 Rh5 17 c4 c6 18 b4 Bf2 19 Re2 Bg3 20 dxc6 Bxc6 21 h3 d5 22 c5 d4 23 Kb2 Re8 24 Rxe8+ Kex8 25 Kb3 +=
a2) 9...Bd6 10 Qg4! +=
a3) 9...b6 10 Qf3! Bd6 (10...Qf6 11 Qxf6 gxf6 12 Bf4 +=) 11 0-0-0 Bb7 (Black's last 2 moves can be reversed) 12 h4! Qf6 (12...Rxh4 Bb5!) 13 Qxf6 (13 Qe4+ Qe7 14 Qa4 Bxd5 is an interesting gambit that is unclear but at least = for White. 15 Re1 Be6 16 Bd3) 13...gxf6 14 Be3 +=

b) 8...Nc5 9 Nf3 +=

c) 8...Nf6 9 Nc4 Qe7+ (9...d6 10 Be2 Be7 11 0-0 0-0 12 Re1 Re8 Aagaard says this position "is not giving White anything to speak about. Fritz is wrong here, for once. But yes, it does look a bit passive." However, Rybka 3 also likes White and I think Black's passivity is exactly what White a small advantage) 10 Be2 b5 11 Ne3 Bb7 (11...Qe5 12 g3! Bb7 13 0-0 Bc5 14 Bf3 0-0 15 a4 +=) 12 0-0 Qc5 Aagaard says this position "looks very unclear to me, and in no way worse for Black". It's a very interesting position but I think it's slightly better for White after 13 h3! Bd6 14 a4 a6 15 Bf3 0-0 16 Qd3 Be5 17 Re1 +=
« Last Edit: 07/17/11 at 19:01:20 by Smyslov_Fan »  
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