OstapBender wrote on 09/12/06 at 17:42:05:
After 16...Qh4 17.Bd4 Rfc8 18.Qf1 Qe7 (since 18...Nf8? 19.g5! looks winning for White) 19.Kb1 (19.Rh3!?) 19...a5 (is this Black's best?) 20.Rh3 I think 20...Nf8 21.f5 looks just deadly for Black, so Black probably has to play 20...g6 here (stopping f4-f5). After 19.Rh3 (which I haven't had time to analyze yet) I think Black also needs to play 19...g6 since 19...Nf8 seems to be just asking for the same kind of trouble after 20.f5. I'm not sure that Black can hold the position after 20...g6 (or 19...g6 if the move pair Kb1/...a5 is omitted), but this is the defense I will be focusing my analysis on right now.
I've had my chess engine running for dozens of hours analyzing these lines, and I must admit that these lines do look quite strong for white, although I still think that black is probably ok with the new lines I propose here. Nevertheless I'm impressed with your judgement of these lines as being good for white. For instance, in many lines I've analyzed, the rook does seem very well placed on h3. It can sack on h7 in some lines, for instance. In fact, one of the reasons why I think that after 19.Kb1 that 19...g6 is probably best is that the rook is strongly drawn to the h3 square anyway, and why not make this move now and see what white does next before comitting to any more moves (as black).
After 20.Rh3 I now think that 20...a5 probably loses for black, as 21.Nxb5 is strong. I think white's kingside is too well fortified by his pieces for black to have enough compensation for the pawn. So I propose 20...Bc6 protecting the b-pawn, and thus making way for the advance of black's a-pawn. It may be that black can't hold this position, but I still think that black can probably survive. If 21.f5 then I like 21...Ncxe5 and if 22.Qf4 then 22...Nxd3 removing white's light squared bishop. If 21.a3 then Shredder likes sacking the bishop with 21...Bxa3 22.bxa3 Nxa3, with a possible continuation being 23.Ka2 a5 24.f5 Nc4, and it would remain to be seen if black's queenside pawns would prove strong enough to maintain the balance. I would think they probably would.
After 19.Rh3 g6 I still think that 20.Kb1 is the strongest move. Does anyone have other suggestions? I'm also not sure that 16...Qh4 is the best move anymore, but would still perhaps place my bets on it for it being the strongest.