@antillian, 

You are exactly right.

In fact, only Leko was able to win as Black in this tournament!  This seems to have been an excellent warm-up for the WC in September.

Btw, 

All the games in the last round were drawn.  I haven't had a chance to see them yet, but this marks another clear win for Kramnik.  Anand is probably slightly disappointed with his results as would be Leko (+1 and 6 draws).

The big surprise was probably Alekseev's performance.  Carlsen underperformed as did Gelfand.  Maybe they both need a break.

Naiditsch played interesting but losing chess and finished at the bottom of the table.

Mamedyarov posed more questions than answers.  He's very promising, but I don't see how he is currently ranked ahead of Leko in the world charts.

The FIDE July list came out today and looks a mess.  I expect several changes in the next few days.  Chessbase.com pointed out that Adams may have become the first person ever to appear in the top 30 in the World twice in the same issue! 
I am not sure, but didn't Kramnik play more than one game in the last three months?? 

Anyway, Dortmund was fun and it will probably be the last big tournament for the WC participants before September.

In each case is Kramnik the uncontested winner of the tournament. Dortmund is really his second home!

In his game against Kramnik yesterday, Naiditsch may have missed a chance to hold a draw from the following position, where he played 32...Re8+.

                          Kramnik-Naiditsch  
http://www.france-echecs.com/diagramme/imgboard.phpfen=3r1bk1/1R3ppp/P7/8/8/3r2P...
                              after 32.Ke1

As pointed out here, Naiditsch might have been able to draw "with the remarkable defensive idea 32...R3d4 33.a7 Rb4."  I used Fritz 9 to examine (albeit not exhaustively) this drawing line, and it seems to hold up:

32...R3d4! 33.a7 

(33.Rc1 R4d7 (33...Ra8 34.a7 Rb4 35.Rcc7 Rxb7 36.Rxb7 g6) 34.Rcc7 Rxc7 35.Rxc7 Ra8 36.a7 g5 37.Rb7 Kg7 38.b4 Bxb4+ 39.Rxb4 Rxa7=) 

33...Rb4! 34.Rd7 

(34.Rxb4? Bxb4+ 35.Ke2 Ra8; 34.Rc7 Ra8)

34...Ra8 

Just the same, I think this was another impressive game by Kramnik.  Like Stuntlinguist, I wasn't much of a Kramnik fan before Elista, but have been blown away by many of  the games I've seen him play since then.

Anand-Alekseev was drawn (as was Mamedyrov-Carlsen hours earlier), and Kramnik won his game against Naiditsch.  Nice victory by Kramnik; blown opportunity by Anand.

So Kramnik has a full point lead going into the last round.  Gelfand-Leko still going with Leko holding an obvious advantage - although I'm not sure if it's enough to win in an ending with rooks and opposite color bishops (and my meager endgame knowledge).

---

                          Gelfand-Leko   
http://www.france-echecs.com/diagramme/imgboard.phpfen=8/8/5p1p/3PpPp1/1k2B1P1/p...
                              after 57...Kb4
Now it's pretty clear that Leko will win.

An interesting moment:
                          Anand-Alekseev  
http://www.france-echecs.com/diagramme/imgboard.phpfen=r2q1nk1/pb3p1p/1p1p2p1/2p...
                              after 20...c5

21.Ne2 (I see nothing wrong with the straightforward 21.Nf3 supporting the g5-pawn)

21...c4 (seems like the critical reply)

22.fxg6 cxd3 23.gxf7+ Kxf7 24.g6+ (this pawn will fall anyway; just a question of whether White wants a black pawn on h7 or g6) 24...hxg6 25.Qf4+ Qf6 26.Qxe3 dxe2 27.Qxe2

                          Anand-Alekseev  
http://www.france-echecs.com/diagramme/imgboard.phpfen=r4n2/pb3k2/1p1p1qp1/8/8/2...
                              after 27.Qxe2

Maybe I'm completely missing the point (probably!), but it appears to me that Anand somewhat let Alekseev off the hook here.  Anand's advantage (if he still has one) seems less clear-cut than it was after 20...c5.

Chessbase.com reports that today's games were boring draws.  I think that's a bit of a disservice to the players and chess.  Yes, the games were draws, but the technique and struggle today was fascinating.   

Mamedyarov really wanted to prove he belongs in the top ten, and a win against someone like Anand would have done that.  They played on until there was literally not enough material left on the board (a bishop each).  Mamedyarov still has two rounds to show whether he really belongs in the stratosphere of the chess elite.

Alekseev could have pulled even with the tournament leader against Naiditsch, but they played the game of the day and drew.  If the players' names had been Kasparov and Kramnik this game would be remembered as one of the great fights.

Sure, the formula: Leko+Kramnik+Russian Defense = Draw turned out to be true.  But I know for sure that very few people in the world could have held that draw against Leko today.  It was a very good game.

The big disappointment (at least for his fans) has to be Carlsen.  I think he needs a long rest.  He took an extra rest day today, as did Gelfand.  I hope they show some extra energy in the last two games. 

Dortmund is a very short tournament, and +2 could win it.  Kramnik will want to go +3 tomorrow against Naiditsch and virtually guarantee a share of first.  Anand will also be pushing hard to win.  Mamedyarov will want at least a + score.   

So even though Chessbase has pointed out there have only been 5 wins so far (only 25% of the games), the rounds have been exciting.  Benjamin Disraeli once had something famous to  say about statistics....

The Leko-Kramnik game was very interesting actually.

Today's great games (all drawn) saw Anand and Kramnik making great saves.  Mamedyarov really impressed me in this game, but so did GM Guseinov who analysed the endgame and showed how to draw it before Anand blitzed out the moves to prove it.

The most complex game of the day was Naiditsch-Alekseev.  I didn't understand it at all, except at the end when Alekseev decided to take a perpetual check with Q+B+N vs 2R, B+N and both sides having very (very) dangerous passers.  It was a fascinating game.

Carlsen and Gelfand looked like they just wanted to get the tournament over with.